Monday, February 1, 2016

How Do You Win the Obama Coalition Being so Critical of Obama?

It doesn't seem that Bernie's attempted outreach to African-Americans is coming too much if you look at Charles Blow's description of things on the ground in Iowa. 

"Also, the preference for Clinton over Bernie Sanders was a two-pronged assessment; it was a sophisticated weighing of comfort and of policy without an absolutism of good vs. bad, but rather a matter of degrees better or worse, more real or more fantasy."

"On the policy front, many simply found Sanders’s policies unrealistically ambitious, an over-promising of giveaways. As one woman put it, “He sounds like Oprah: ‘You get a car! And you get a car! And you get a car!’ How is he going to pay for all that?”

"Clinton’s ambitions seemed to be judged more realistic."

"Then, there was the problem of comfort."

"The Clintons seem to intuitively understand the value of retail politics, particularly when doing outreach to marginalized groups. I can’t tell you how many stories I’ve heard from black people about the time that one of the Clintons — most often Bill Clinton — spoke at or showed up at an event important to the black community."

"This means something. It adds to an aura of familiarity that doesn’t extend to Sanders."

If you don't have the black vote, you aren't close to the Obama coalition. And hanging out with Cornell West isn't the way to close the gap. 

It''s clear who Bernie's real base is. The white Emoprogs that hated Obama for years and wanted to primary him. 

Now a new book about Emoprogs by Bill Press is out-with Bernie endorsing the book. 

"Press' book, which is out a day after the Iowa caucuses on February 2, is about "the many ways President Obama has failed to live up to either his promises or his progressive potential," according to promotional materials."

So this primary is shaping up as a referendum on the Obama years. Those Democrats who see the President as a successful, transformational President-as most Dems do-are all in for Hillary. Those who don't-the Emoprogs-are for Bernie.

So Bernie's coalition is not the Obama coalition but more a coalition of those unsatisfied with the President.

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