Hillary's team hopes to come up with at least a 100 point delegate win on Tuesday.
Here are Joseph Lenski's projections:
"Here are my delegate projections for 3/1: Clinton 512; Sanders 353; Trump 284; Cruz 160; Rubio 133; Kasich 15; Carson 3."
https://twitter.com/JoeLenski/status/704448159104299009
So he has her winning by 159 delegates which would be insurmountable going forward.
But if we are to believe the Texas polls, she could have close to an 100 delegate win on Tuesday just based in Texas alone. A new Emerson poll has her up by 42 points.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_democratic_presidential_primary-4158.html
Meanwhile the news just about everywhere else is great for Hillary. There was a poll that showed Bernie up by 5, though she still has a small lead in the averages there.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ok/oklahoma_democratic_presidential_primary-5739.html
But in light of the huge wins she will have down South, a 5 point win in OK wouldn't do much.
Meanwhile, in what has to be very worrying for Bernie, she has lead in 4 straight polls there, with a new Emerson poll showing her with her biggest lead there yet lately, an 11 point lead.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_democratic_presidential_primary-3891.html
Nationally a number of polls came out today showing her back up by about 20 points. In the interim between her big loss in NH and Nevada, the national polls had tightened and the day before Nevada one poll had her actually down by 3.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html
Sooner or later-and if she wins Massachusetts, sooner-Bernie is going to have to ask himself what the point of pushing this race to go on and on when he clearly has no path to victory beyond helping Donald Trump who may be done by late March.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-02-28/a-shellacking-in-south-carolina-clinton-is-inevitable
Harry Enten notes Rubio trying to be Trump isn't working.
"If you look hard enough, there is perhaps some evidence that Cruz has picked up some ground heading into Super Tuesday. We'll see..."
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/704446968865673216
But I see pretty much no evidence that Rubio has gained any ground... Anywhere."
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/704447127653588993
Here are Joseph Lenski's projections:
"Here are my delegate projections for 3/1: Clinton 512; Sanders 353; Trump 284; Cruz 160; Rubio 133; Kasich 15; Carson 3."
https://twitter.com/JoeLenski/status/704448159104299009
So he has her winning by 159 delegates which would be insurmountable going forward.
But if we are to believe the Texas polls, she could have close to an 100 delegate win on Tuesday just based in Texas alone. A new Emerson poll has her up by 42 points.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/tx/texas_democratic_presidential_primary-4158.html
Meanwhile the news just about everywhere else is great for Hillary. There was a poll that showed Bernie up by 5, though she still has a small lead in the averages there.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ok/oklahoma_democratic_presidential_primary-5739.html
But in light of the huge wins she will have down South, a 5 point win in OK wouldn't do much.
Meanwhile, in what has to be very worrying for Bernie, she has lead in 4 straight polls there, with a new Emerson poll showing her with her biggest lead there yet lately, an 11 point lead.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_democratic_presidential_primary-3891.html
Nationally a number of polls came out today showing her back up by about 20 points. In the interim between her big loss in NH and Nevada, the national polls had tightened and the day before Nevada one poll had her actually down by 3.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/2016_democratic_presidential_nomination-3824.html
Sooner or later-and if she wins Massachusetts, sooner-Bernie is going to have to ask himself what the point of pushing this race to go on and on when he clearly has no path to victory beyond helping Donald Trump who may be done by late March.
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2016-02-28/a-shellacking-in-south-carolina-clinton-is-inevitable
Harry Enten notes Rubio trying to be Trump isn't working.
"If you look hard enough, there is perhaps some evidence that Cruz has picked up some ground heading into Super Tuesday. We'll see..."
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/704446968865673216
But I see pretty much no evidence that Rubio has gained any ground... Anywhere."
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/704447127653588993
No comments:
Post a Comment