A new tweet of his says yes:
When Ted Cruz quits the race and the field begins to clear, I will get most of his votes - no problem!
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/702641468398292994
This is the opposite of the Establishment who thinks that if Cruz gets out, his votes go mostly to Rubio.
They believe that if only they could quickly whittle it down to Rubio and Trump then Rubio will win. This is the winnowing theory which is related to the low ceiling theory. Basically winnowing the field sinks Trump because allegedly, he has such a low ceiling of support.
I've wondered why until recently at least Trump has hit Rubio so little. Could it be that he actually wants to get him in a one on one?
With Ted Cruz he has simply destroyed him. I think you can argue that Cruz was rising and rising until Trump started going after him.
Rubio would seem to be a target rich environment for Trump:
When Ted Cruz quits the race and the field begins to clear, I will get most of his votes - no problem!
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/702641468398292994
This is the opposite of the Establishment who thinks that if Cruz gets out, his votes go mostly to Rubio.
They believe that if only they could quickly whittle it down to Rubio and Trump then Rubio will win. This is the winnowing theory which is related to the low ceiling theory. Basically winnowing the field sinks Trump because allegedly, he has such a low ceiling of support.
I've wondered why until recently at least Trump has hit Rubio so little. Could it be that he actually wants to get him in a one on one?
With Ted Cruz he has simply destroyed him. I think you can argue that Cruz was rising and rising until Trump started going after him.
Rubio would seem to be a target rich environment for Trump:
1. The A word-Amnesty.
2. How weak he is under pressure. I mean surely Chris Christie shows Rubio's weakness if nothing else. There's also the time he kept drinking water at the SOTU response.
3. He too, is vulnerable to the same birther stuff Trump went after Cruz on. In fact Rubio and Cruz are subject to a joint lawsuit questioning their eligibility.
True Rubio was born here but it's been questioned whether he is a 'natural born citizen'-there is this idea that you can be a citizen but not a 'naturally born citizen' and hence, still not eligible to run.
Trump did open the door to that on George Stephanopolous last Sunday saying he 'wasn't sure' and 'hadn't looked closely enough' at whether Rubio is eligible.
Yes, in the past he has said Rubio is eligible but he once said the same thing of Cruz as well.
So maybe that's Trump's game? I have to think that tweet of his was in answer to those who are saying that Rubio would get all Cruz's support.
If you look at Nevada Trump at 46 percent lapped both Rubio at 24 percent and Cruz at 21 percent combined. If you gave Rubio all of Cruz's votes-and no way would all Cruz's votes go to him-he would still fall short.
If on the other hand you flip a coin and divide Cruz's vote in half and give 50 percent to each, then Trump would have beat Rubio outright 57 percent to 35 percent.
I don't even understand what Nate Silver is saying here:
Trump's ceiling might be 50% or might be 65%. It's very probably *not* 35%. Rubio's ceiling is higher than Trump's but his floor is lower."
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/702683681132040192
If Trump's ceiling is 65 percent then you don't have to be a math major to grasp that he wins. If you get 65 percent then the most Rubio gets is 35 percent.
I thought an adviser for Chris Christie explained the GOP race well on Chuck Todd yesterday.
He pointed out that people kept talking about what will hurt Trump rather than what will help Christie or Jeb, or Jindal, etc.
This is the problem. The goal of the candidates for each was to win not be the one who took out Trump.
2. How weak he is under pressure. I mean surely Chris Christie shows Rubio's weakness if nothing else. There's also the time he kept drinking water at the SOTU response.
3. He too, is vulnerable to the same birther stuff Trump went after Cruz on. In fact Rubio and Cruz are subject to a joint lawsuit questioning their eligibility.
True Rubio was born here but it's been questioned whether he is a 'natural born citizen'-there is this idea that you can be a citizen but not a 'naturally born citizen' and hence, still not eligible to run.
Trump did open the door to that on George Stephanopolous last Sunday saying he 'wasn't sure' and 'hadn't looked closely enough' at whether Rubio is eligible.
Yes, in the past he has said Rubio is eligible but he once said the same thing of Cruz as well.
So maybe that's Trump's game? I have to think that tweet of his was in answer to those who are saying that Rubio would get all Cruz's support.
If you look at Nevada Trump at 46 percent lapped both Rubio at 24 percent and Cruz at 21 percent combined. If you gave Rubio all of Cruz's votes-and no way would all Cruz's votes go to him-he would still fall short.
If on the other hand you flip a coin and divide Cruz's vote in half and give 50 percent to each, then Trump would have beat Rubio outright 57 percent to 35 percent.
I don't even understand what Nate Silver is saying here:
Trump's ceiling might be 50% or might be 65%. It's very probably *not* 35%. Rubio's ceiling is higher than Trump's but his floor is lower."
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/702683681132040192
If Trump's ceiling is 65 percent then you don't have to be a math major to grasp that he wins. If you get 65 percent then the most Rubio gets is 35 percent.
I thought an adviser for Chris Christie explained the GOP race well on Chuck Todd yesterday.
He pointed out that people kept talking about what will hurt Trump rather than what will help Christie or Jeb, or Jindal, etc.
This is the problem. The goal of the candidates for each was to win not be the one who took out Trump.
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