No surprise here. At exactly 7 with the polls closed, this one was called by every network. I say Hillary is getting Obama like turnout in 2008, if anything, it's even stronger:
"In South Carolina today, Hillary Clinton scored her biggest victory yet in the Democratic presidential primary. She beat Bernie Sanders by what looks to be at least 30 percentage points, according to exit polls, thanks to overwhelming support from African-Americans. As the race heads into Super Tuesday, Clinton has clear momentum: She has big leads in many of the 12 contests that will take place, according to the polls."
"According to the South Carolina exit poll, Sanders lost black voters 16 percent to 84 percent. That doomed him in a contest in which 62 percent of voters were black. If white voters were more supportive of his candidacy, Sanders might have been able to keep the race closer. But they split 58 percent for Sanders to 42 percent for Clinton. That’s simply not good enough to overcome Clinton’s advantage among black voters. It also makes the result among white voters in New Hampshire look more like an outlier compared to South Carolina, Iowa and Nevada. Maybe the Vermont senator had more of a next-door-neighbor advantage in New Hampshire than we initially thought."
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/south-carolina-primary-results-2016-democrat-clinton-sanders/?ex_cid=538twitter
It was always obvious there was a next-door neighbor advantage and it's not clear why the media every thought there wasn't. I mean NH and Iowa are quite similar in terms of a lot of rural white voters and yet she won a close win in Iowa and lost by over 20 in NH. What is the main difference between the two states but that NH is next door to Vermont?
"In South Carolina today, Hillary Clinton scored her biggest victory yet in the Democratic presidential primary. She beat Bernie Sanders by what looks to be at least 30 percentage points, according to exit polls, thanks to overwhelming support from African-Americans. As the race heads into Super Tuesday, Clinton has clear momentum: She has big leads in many of the 12 contests that will take place, according to the polls."
"According to the South Carolina exit poll, Sanders lost black voters 16 percent to 84 percent. That doomed him in a contest in which 62 percent of voters were black. If white voters were more supportive of his candidacy, Sanders might have been able to keep the race closer. But they split 58 percent for Sanders to 42 percent for Clinton. That’s simply not good enough to overcome Clinton’s advantage among black voters. It also makes the result among white voters in New Hampshire look more like an outlier compared to South Carolina, Iowa and Nevada. Maybe the Vermont senator had more of a next-door-neighbor advantage in New Hampshire than we initially thought."
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/south-carolina-primary-results-2016-democrat-clinton-sanders/?ex_cid=538twitter
It was always obvious there was a next-door neighbor advantage and it's not clear why the media every thought there wasn't. I mean NH and Iowa are quite similar in terms of a lot of rural white voters and yet she won a close win in Iowa and lost by over 20 in NH. What is the main difference between the two states but that NH is next door to Vermont?
Bernie's team is defiant about Super Tuesday but that will be more of the same. He will lose all those Southern states by the same sort of margin.
Maybe he wins Massachusetts but even if he does, it will be close enough that he won't get a big jump on her in delegates. Other than Vermont there is no state that he will do. He will maybe get all of his home state but remember those are only 26.
One other thing of interest. His team evoked Donald Trump. It's almost like Bernie hopes to steal some of the excitement of Trump.
It is sort of embarrassing for him. Trump is the one leading to record turnout. Bernie's campaign is unfortunately wrongly predicated on the idea that what the Dems need is to win over white swing voters.
He should have read this book before he started.
"Despite the abundant evidence from Obama's victories proving that the U.S. population has fundamentally changed, many progressives and Democrats continue to waste millions of dollars chasing white swing voters. Explosive population growth of people of color in America over the past fifty years has laid the foundation for a New American Majority consisting of progressive people of color (23 percent of all eligible voters) and progressive whites (28 percent of all eligible voters). These two groups make up 51 percent of all eligible voters in America right now, and that majority is growing larger every day. Failing to properly appreciate this reality, progressives are at risk of missing this moment in history--and losing."
http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/1620971151?ie=UTF8&camp=1789&creativeASIN=1620971151&linkCode=xm2&tag=thewaspos09-20
Black voters-and any real Democrat in my mind-are not going to do Obama dirty anyway and reject his hand chosen successor. It's that simple.
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