Here's the trouble though: there are no moral victories in a primary.
Indeed, Obama won eight years ago remembering that it was not even so much about votes a delegates.
At this point Bernie has 69 of the 2382 delegates needed to win Dem nomination and HRC has won 501 of her needed 2382 delegates.
Think about that. She's already over 21 percent of the way there. And these first three states have been relatively friendly states to Bernie. Two caucuses and a very white and liberal state that neighbors Vermont in NH.
Iowa is hugely white and rural-she eked out a win there. He did win big in NH but this was expected.
But Nevada while more diverse than the first few was more friendly to him than most diverse states will be. Low turnout caucus states are by definition. There is also considerably fewer AA voters than in important upcoming states. Still she won by 6. This suggests she likely has bigger than a 6 point lead locally.
A 6 point caucus win is not as close as it would be in a primary.
"Clinton's victory sets her back on track before next week's South Carolina primary, where she has a commanding lead in recent polls. And it validates the Clinton campaign's theory of the race: that Sanders's appeal might be strong in largely-white states, but that Clinton is the candidate of the Democrats' nonwhite base."
"Clinton is likely to win only a couple more delegates out of the state than Sanders, thanks to Nevada's model of assigning delegates regionally. But Clinton doesn't have to worry about delegate math just yet, because she's just won an important victory that makes clear she's still the frontrunner in this campaign."
Indeed, Obama won eight years ago remembering that it was not even so much about votes a delegates.
At this point Bernie has 69 of the 2382 delegates needed to win Dem nomination and HRC has won 501 of her needed 2382 delegates.
Think about that. She's already over 21 percent of the way there. And these first three states have been relatively friendly states to Bernie. Two caucuses and a very white and liberal state that neighbors Vermont in NH.
Iowa is hugely white and rural-she eked out a win there. He did win big in NH but this was expected.
But Nevada while more diverse than the first few was more friendly to him than most diverse states will be. Low turnout caucus states are by definition. There is also considerably fewer AA voters than in important upcoming states. Still she won by 6. This suggests she likely has bigger than a 6 point lead locally.
A 6 point caucus win is not as close as it would be in a primary.
"Clinton's victory sets her back on track before next week's South Carolina primary, where she has a commanding lead in recent polls. And it validates the Clinton campaign's theory of the race: that Sanders's appeal might be strong in largely-white states, but that Clinton is the candidate of the Democrats' nonwhite base."
"Clinton is likely to win only a couple more delegates out of the state than Sanders, thanks to Nevada's model of assigning delegates regionally. But Clinton doesn't have to worry about delegate math just yet, because she's just won an important victory that makes clear she's still the frontrunner in this campaign."
"It only gets easier from here."
"Clinton was long thought to be the Democrats' inevitable nominee, but her performance in the first two states to vote fell far short of what she might have hoped for. She barely managed to pull out a tie with Sanders in Iowa, lost badly to him in New Hampshire, and national polls in the past week have been tightening."
"So Clinton really needed a decisive win. She wanted to prove she could fight off the Sanders surge and give her campaign some sense of momentum before South Carolina and the first multi-state "Super Tuesday" primary on March 1st."
"And that's just what she ended up getting. The Nevada results were the first test of how real Sanders's momentum was: in other words, how well he would be able to use his early victories as an opportunity to appeal to voters who hadn't been following the race closely for months."
"In the end, then, the Nevada results provide ammunition for the Clinton campaign's argument that Sanders's early strength is a fluke of rural white states where he's camped out for months — and that it wouldn't easily translate to the rest of the country."
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079458/nevada-results-hillary-clinton-wins
"Clinton was long thought to be the Democrats' inevitable nominee, but her performance in the first two states to vote fell far short of what she might have hoped for. She barely managed to pull out a tie with Sanders in Iowa, lost badly to him in New Hampshire, and national polls in the past week have been tightening."
"So Clinton really needed a decisive win. She wanted to prove she could fight off the Sanders surge and give her campaign some sense of momentum before South Carolina and the first multi-state "Super Tuesday" primary on March 1st."
"And that's just what she ended up getting. The Nevada results were the first test of how real Sanders's momentum was: in other words, how well he would be able to use his early victories as an opportunity to appeal to voters who hadn't been following the race closely for months."
"In the end, then, the Nevada results provide ammunition for the Clinton campaign's argument that Sanders's early strength is a fluke of rural white states where he's camped out for months — and that it wouldn't easily translate to the rest of the country."
http://www.vox.com/2016/2/20/11079458/nevada-results-hillary-clinton-wins
No comments:
Post a Comment