Close to a Clean Sweep for a Trump Democrat

I got most of what I wanted tonight. First and foremost Hillary came through with a big win in Nevada.

In many ways, I think while her team was mocked for suggesting that the state is not so diverse, the important thing is that they were able to lower expectations.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/02/hillary-projected-to-have-nevada-win.html

Bernie will try to say a 4 to 6 point loss is a moral victory but a lot of the press had decided he was going to win. And if he has a shot at winning a diverse state, a caucus state like Nevada was ideal for him. He didn't close the deal.

"Hillary Clinton’s victory in the Nevada caucus on Saturday suggests that her national advantage, although diminished, has survived a big loss in New Hampshire and a tight race in Iowa."

"Nevada is fairly representative of the national electorate, and it’s a state where Bernie Sanders would be expected to fare slightly better than he would elsewhere."

"Mr. Sanders’s supporters will undoubtedly protest this framing. Their candidate exceeded the expectations of a month ago, and he fared better among Hispanic voters than many would have guessed. Mrs. Clinton’s lead is only 4.3 percentage points with 80 percent of precincts reporting."

"But judging Mr. Sanders merely by whether he makes life tough for Mrs. Clinton diminishes his candidacy. It assumes that he’s a mere protest candidate who should be judged by a lower standard. If he is taken as a serious candidate, and judged by whether he’s on a path to the nomination, then his performance today fell short."

"Mrs. Clinton won by carrying Las Vegas’s Clark County — the most diverse county in the state — by a 10-point margin. She won the majority Hispanic precincts in East Las Vegas, calling into question the entrance-exit poll finding that Mr. Sanders won the Hispanic vote."

"Nevada was the third straight state where, because of demographics, one would have expected Mr. Sanders to fare better than the national average. In terms of the Democratic primary electorate, the black voter share in the state is below the national average. If African-Americans are the principal source of Mrs. Clinton’s national advantage, as her strength with them today and her modest showing among Hispanic voters suggest, then she should be expected to fare better elsewhere."

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/21/upshot/hillary-clintons-nevada-victory-suggests-she-still-has-edge-nationally.html?_r=0

From a delegate standpoint, Hillary has a huge lead at this point and as Cohn says, she hasn't gotten to the states that favor her yet-which will begin in South Carolina this Saturday. 

You need 2382 delegates to win and she already has 501 compared with Bernie's 69. And again, we've been in three states that relatively favor him-a very white caucus state in Iowa, a very white, progressive state that neighbors Vermont in NH and now a low turnout caucus state in Nevada. But she's already close to 25 percent of the way to her 2382 delegates. 

On the GOP side, Trump has won-which makes a Trump Democrat very happy, and it was called very early. He clearly has the win, with the question remaining who gets second between Rubio and Cruz. 

As a Trump Democrat, my hope, of course, is Ted Cruz. I did see Trump finally attacking Rubio on Twitter today. He needs to keep this up. 

Joe Scarborough suggests that if Jeb gets less than 10 percent in SC this could be the end. But as a Trump Democrat, my hope is that Rubio doesn't get the whole Establishment lane to himself. Certainly Kasich, while not doing well it seems in SC still has the case to go for the purple midwestern states like Michigan to see how he does there. So hopefully he stays in. 

As for Jeb, hopefully he keeps using all that super PAC money to destroy Rubio. Think about it Jeb-he betrayed you by getting into this race. It was your turn. LOL