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Sunday, February 28, 2016

Yes Everything Came Up Roses for Hillary Clinton in SC

Did I not predict this yesterday?

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/02/with-sc-voting-today-everything-is.html

No one predicted just how sweet it would smell for her though. The RCP average had her up 28 points. Nate Silver's polls plus had her at plus 38 but even he was skeptical about that margin.

I myself was thinking it would be great if she could beat him 2 to 1-maybe 67 to 33-but scarcely dared to hope that. In my mind a great night might be 64-36.

But 48 points? 

The betting odds are also coming up roses. She is now a 93.5 percent lock to win the Dem primary-she was under 88 just yesterday and is up 11.8 percent over the last 7 days. She is also now just under 60 percent likely to win the Presidency at 59.9 percent. That's up over 5 points since yesterday afternoon.

Meanwhile Trump is up to 77.2 percent likely to win the GOP primary. He is now up 12 points since Christie endorsed him.

https://electionbettingodds.com/week.html

Christie is clearly pulling his-considerable-weight as he's got two other governors to sign in already with Paul Lapage and Jan Breur.

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/jan-brewer-endorses-donald-trump

 With all the bad press she's gotten since early January things are going pretty much perfect for her with the properly bird's eye view.

P.S. Predictiwise has similar numbers as Krugman highlights.

https://twitter.com/paulkrugman/status/703614386460561409






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