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Friday, February 19, 2016

The Bernie Coalition. Obama Coalition, and Hillary Coalition

An interesting Vox piece that shows that Bernie's coalition is not the Obama coalition. In some ways Hillary's coalition today was Obama's coalition in 2008.

Sanders's coalition looks very different from what Obama created, or what most experts had expected. According to pollsters and political science professors, Sanders appears to have combined elements of both Obama and Clinton's 2008 voting blocs — he's building something new and untested as an electoral force in American politics.

There are key ways Sanders's support looks more like Clinton's 2008 coalition than Obama's — and vice versa.

"The irony of this Democratic primary so far is that Hillary Clinton's path to victory involves winning the voters she lost in 2008. And Bernie Sanders's path to victory depends on winning the voters Hillary Clinton won in 2008," says Dave Wasserman, a political analyst at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. "That's a remarkable turn of events in just eight years."

http://www.vox.com/2016/2/17/11038402/bernie-sanders-obama

It's kind of ironic and touching in a way that the very voters who doomed Hillary's 2008 bid-black voters-are who look primed to lock it in for her this time.

But black folks are clearly not feeling the Bern but are feeling Hil very strongly.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/02/18/new-poll-shows-that-black-voters-really-arent-feeling-the-bern/

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-black-voters_us_56c61282e4b0c3c550541904?30i9t3xr

What's interesting is that while we've heard so much about how millennials are feeling the Bern this has turned out to be true mostly of white millennials, not black millennials who are supporting Hillary in huge numbers it turns out.

I've said it before: in Zizekean terms 'black women are the truth of the 2016 Democratic party.'

And they are feeling Hil in huge numbers.

For more on Zizek, Lacan and all that see here.

http://www.lacan.com/zizwhiteriot.html

https://books.google.com/books?id=sQqPAQAAQBAJ&pg=PA31&lpg=PA31&dq=zizek+woman+is+a+symptom+of+man&source=bl&ots=mOahBYoX-n&sig=yD2AfMYmm-5JOiV1M8cDuoGhq8M&hl=en&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwihlLeI5YPLAhUFaT4KHV5WC84Q6AEIPDAE#v=onepage&q=zizek%20woman%20is%20a%20symptom%20of%20man&f=false

The basic idea os that 'woman is a symptom of man'-ie, to see the truth of a man don't look to him but to his woman. No matter how positive a face he puts on things, you get the real truth in watching her face and body language, etc. 

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