And this says a lot about the Republican and Democratic parties.
Trump is going to clean up in a GOP Southern electorate that is anywhere from 92 to 96 percent white.
Hillary is going to roll through diverse states, and Democratic primaries dominated by African-Americans.
To be sure, she did win the white vote in SC on Saturday by 53-47-bad news for Bernie-and in Texas she leads it with a bigger margin.
But in the South so much of it comes down to this: the GOP is the white party and the Democratic party is by default the black party.
The other piece of this is the Democratic party is much healthier than the Republican party which is why they were able to withstand the Sanders challenge but the GOP has been so unsuccessful fighting the Trump challenge.
"Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are already beating their rivals. On Super Tuesday, insiders predict they'll all-but bury them."
"Members of The POLITICO Caucus – a panel of strategists, party leaders, activists and elected officials in four key March-voting states – expect both Clinton and Trump to romp through the majority of Tuesday's primaries and caucuses. And a number even suggested that running the table on Super Tuesday, or something close to it, could make both front-runners nearly impossible to catch in the race for their parties’ nomination."
"Clinton is the favorite in all but two states on Tuesday, according to Democratic insiders: Bernie Sanders’ home state of Vermont, and in the caucuses in Minnesota."
"Trump, meanwhile, gets the nod in all but one of the states going to the polls on Tuesday: Texas, where home-state Sen. Ted Cruz has the edge, Republicans said."
“Hillary's nomination is a foregone conclusion. You can watch the contest for fun now, but the drama left that one a long time ago,” said a Republican in Virginia, one of the states voting on Super Tuesday.
As for the GOP contests, the insider – who like all respondents completed the survey anonymously – added: “Tuesday night feels like an evening that will require bourbon and soul-searching for Republicans.”
“Game. Set. Match. On both sides,” added another Virginia Republican. “Sure, there will be some surprises and zero candidates will drop out as most have the wherewithal and ego to slog ahead for weeks to come, but this thing is done. Despite conspiracy theories, Trump and Clinton will be cruising to their respective nominations.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/trump-clinton-likely-winner-super-tuesday-politico-caucus-219996#ixzz41eV4ZiCv
Things should look very good for the Dems in 2017. They have certainly found a successful Senate strategy-running against Donald Trump.
“Clinton's biggest win will be Massachusetts, where Sanders had hope to stem the tide,” predicted a North Carolina Democrat. “That primary result should make it clear to the Sanders campaign that there is no way for him to win the nomination.”
“Get out the aloe for all those Berns,” joked an Ohio Democrat. “Super Tuesday will be the beginning of the end of a fascinating ride.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/trump-clinton-likely-winner-super-tuesday-politico-caucus-219996#ixzz41eWGvvdw
Trump is going to clean up in a GOP Southern electorate that is anywhere from 92 to 96 percent white.
Hillary is going to roll through diverse states, and Democratic primaries dominated by African-Americans.
To be sure, she did win the white vote in SC on Saturday by 53-47-bad news for Bernie-and in Texas she leads it with a bigger margin.
But in the South so much of it comes down to this: the GOP is the white party and the Democratic party is by default the black party.
The other piece of this is the Democratic party is much healthier than the Republican party which is why they were able to withstand the Sanders challenge but the GOP has been so unsuccessful fighting the Trump challenge.
"Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are already beating their rivals. On Super Tuesday, insiders predict they'll all-but bury them."
"Members of The POLITICO Caucus – a panel of strategists, party leaders, activists and elected officials in four key March-voting states – expect both Clinton and Trump to romp through the majority of Tuesday's primaries and caucuses. And a number even suggested that running the table on Super Tuesday, or something close to it, could make both front-runners nearly impossible to catch in the race for their parties’ nomination."
"Clinton is the favorite in all but two states on Tuesday, according to Democratic insiders: Bernie Sanders’ home state of Vermont, and in the caucuses in Minnesota."
"Trump, meanwhile, gets the nod in all but one of the states going to the polls on Tuesday: Texas, where home-state Sen. Ted Cruz has the edge, Republicans said."
“Hillary's nomination is a foregone conclusion. You can watch the contest for fun now, but the drama left that one a long time ago,” said a Republican in Virginia, one of the states voting on Super Tuesday.
As for the GOP contests, the insider – who like all respondents completed the survey anonymously – added: “Tuesday night feels like an evening that will require bourbon and soul-searching for Republicans.”
“Game. Set. Match. On both sides,” added another Virginia Republican. “Sure, there will be some surprises and zero candidates will drop out as most have the wherewithal and ego to slog ahead for weeks to come, but this thing is done. Despite conspiracy theories, Trump and Clinton will be cruising to their respective nominations.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/trump-clinton-likely-winner-super-tuesday-politico-caucus-219996#ixzz41eV4ZiCv
Things should look very good for the Dems in 2017. They have certainly found a successful Senate strategy-running against Donald Trump.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/02/29/politics/donald-trump-john-mccain-2016-election-ad/index.html
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/02/democrats-2016-strategy-gop-219957?lo=ap_c1
As for the GOP side, I note that Kasich is not that far behind Rubio in Massachusetts-just 3 points behind in the RCP tracker.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ma/massachusetts_republican_presidential_primary-5205.html
That would be sweet if he were to finish ahead of Rubio there.
As for the Dems, Hillary may be about to win MA as well which would be very demoralizing for The Bern.
“Get out the aloe for all those Berns,” joked an Ohio Democrat. “Super Tuesday will be the beginning of the end of a fascinating ride.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/trump-clinton-likely-winner-super-tuesday-politico-caucus-219996#ixzz41eWGvvdw
Mike, in your opinion, what are the chances that relations will be good enough between Hillary and Bernie at the end of this (assuming HRC wins), that Bernie will drop out and support her?
ReplyDeleteDid you see this?:
http://www.redstate.com/dan_mclaughlin/2016/03/01/new-cnn-poll-trump-loses-hillary-rubio-cruz-win/
I don't put any stock into general election polls this far out.
ReplyDelete