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Tuesday, July 12, 2016

Why Trump Loves the Uneducated

Because they're the only ones who vote for him-or at least uneducated whites.

Hillary has a chance to be the first Democrat to win college educated white voters since 1952.

"Hillary Clinton is crushing Donald Trump among college-educated white voters, a group Mitt Romney easily won in 2012 and one his Republican Party has carried in presidential contests for decades."

"White voters with at least a college degree—a group that represented more than a third of the 2012 electorate—back Clinton over Trump 48 percent to 37 percent, the latest Purple Slice online poll for Bloomberg Politics shows. Romney won that group by 14 percentage points, according to exit polls."

"Among all college-educated likely voters, including those with post-graduate degrees, Clinton leads 54 percent to 32 percent, a much bigger margin than President Barack Obama’s 2-point advantage with a group that represented 47 percent of the electorate in 2012. Among voters with just a college degree and no post-graduate degree, another subgroup Romney won in 2012, Clinton is ahead 48 percent to 37 percent."

"White voters with college degrees could help Clinton in swing states such as Colorado, North Carolina, and Virginia, where a relatively large proportion of those voters are college-educated. She could do worse than Obama did in states where whites without a college degree are more plentiful, like Iowa and Ohio."

"Reflecting her gender gap, Clinton trails very slightly among college-educated white men, with Trump getting 42 percent and Clinton getting 41 percent. Among white women, Clinton outpaces Trump 54 percent to 33 percent.
http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-07-12/college-poll

Even that 'gender gap' is all on the side of Hillary. That Trump leads among college educated white men by just one point shows how bad he's doing.

Similarly, while we keep hearing that both candidates are equally divisive, Trump is the one losing long time Republican voters. That Trump is only leading by about 10 points among white voters says it all.

While Romney got almost 60 percent of white voters, Trump is struggling to pull 50 percent.

In other words, the only hope Trump has is a huge turnout among uneducated white voters.


5 comments:

  1. Makes you wonder if they also love the Zika virus. All those tiny brains in the future have got to look like new votes to them.

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  2. Maybe that's their secret weapon to take back the WH

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  3. Mike, those figures you quote from Bloomberg don't seem to match their graphic showing Clinton beating Trump 54% to 32% over all college educated whites.
    http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-07-12/college-poll
    How does her losing to Trump by 1% over college educated white men and beating Trump 54% to 33% over college educated white women translate to her beating him 54% to 32% over all college educated whites? Is it a matter of whether or not Johnson and the Green party are included or not?

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    Replies
    1. Never mind: I see: the graphic is over ALL college educated voters, not just whites.

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  4. Here's another reason: the uneducated don't bother fact checking:
    http://www.redstate.com/leon_h_wolf/2016/07/12/eric-trump-im-saying-dad-didnt-donate-foundation-im-saying-either/

    Have you been following that one?

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