Thursday, July 14, 2016

Is it Possible to Win a US Election With 0 Percent of Black Vote?

You could argue that Trump's campaign is a natural experiment for if it's possible to win a US election with 0% of the Black vote

"This election is really about whether the US has become diverse enough to save it from itself."

Indeed. Only our minority voters can save us now. Speaking of race, Trump's presumed VP pick, Mike Pence, has one thing in common with Black Voters-neither would consider voting for him.

On the other hand Pence is not going to help Trump break one percent with African Americans.

"Mike Pence is a KKK member. This guy must be removed from office. He is a bigot and racist."

Instead, Trump wants to make him Vice President. Maybe it's because Trump says he's never heard of the KKK. Though his father, Fred Trump, sure did.

If Pence is the guy, it's going to be sort of awkward on policy as well.

"If the rumors are true, presumptive Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump will soon announce that Indiana Governor Mike Pence (R) will be his running mate."

"The two men may have a number of things in common, including calling climate science into question and cracking down on immigrants. But there is one huge area where they disagree: trade."

"Trump has made changes to the country’s trade policies one of the most consistent themes of his candidacy. He’s constantly railed against existing trade deals that he says have cost the country jobs and need to be renegotiated. He’s promised to slap huge tariffs on imports from other countries in the name of boosting industry here at home. And he’s specifically called out China, accusing it of unfairly manipulating its own currency to make its goods cheaper and undercut other countries like the U.S."

"Pence, on the other hand, has consistently supported freer trade. As Jim Tankersley at the Washington Post has pointed out, if a trade deal came before him during his time in Congress, Pence voted in favor of it."

"Pence voted in favor of the Central America Free Trade Agreement (CAFTA), an extension of the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) to Central American countries — NAFTA being a trade deal Trump has specifically called a “disaster” and promised to rip up. He also voted in favor of free trade agreements with Chile, Colombia, Korea, Oman, Panama, Peru, and Singapore, in support of permanent normal trade relations with China, and against approval to have the U.S. withdraw from the World Trade Organization."

"As governor, Pence has offered his support for the Trans Pacific Partnership trade deal that President Obama has been trying to get approved in Congress, but which Trump has called a “horrible deal.” And in voicing his support, Pence wrote that he wanted to see reduced tariffs and trade barriers “so that Indiana businesses can enjoy increased market access.” Trump’s proposals could, experts have warned, spark a trade war in which other countries impose higher tariffs on American goods."

Pence also criticized Trump's Muslim ban.

"Calls to ban Muslims from entering the U.S. are offensive and unconstitutional."

Pence is held to be safe, boring pick. But how can a cigarette Truther be boring?

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