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Sunday, July 10, 2016

1968 and all That

After what happened in Dallas on Friday-on top of the two killings of young black men by the police-everyone is talking about 1968.

Greg Sargent worries that it's overdone:

"Predicting a new narrative: Neither Trump nor Clinton can unite the country. Therefore, both are equally divisive!"

"Jeez. The hyperbole about how divided the country is has really gotten out of control."

https://twitter.com/ThePlumLineGS/status/751851154372452354

Here in The Atlantic is yet another piece about 1968.

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/07/is-america-repeating-the-mistakes-of-1968/490568/

Jonathan Chait the other day argues that this is not 1968.

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/is-not-1968.html

As did Josh Marshall:

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/taking-stock--7

My take is we're at at a different stage of the same war. 1968 was when some lasting racial and political fissures were laid down.

2016 may finally be the year when we see 1968 reversed.

One big difference is the Democratic party. In 1968, the rivalry of LBJ and RFK consumed the party.

Neither side really won-RFK was canonized but this was not the way you would want it as it came through assassination and LBJ was dead five years later-but the party certainly lost.

Compare this to Obama's inspired strategy in 2008 of bringing together a team of rivals. So whereas the party was being torn apart in 1968, it's never been more unified than this year.

Indeed, traditionally the Dems were the party of division.

Meanwhile, Trump is struggling to win 50 percent of the white vote. He is only winning the white voters without college.

This tells you that the party is actually unifying-against Trump. A strong Hillary landslide will communicate exactly that.

"Obama’s placid vision is obviously not a panacea. There are murderers, racists, and hysterics afoot who will not calmly gather around the table for a data-based discussion of reforms. There is an element of struggle to his vision — a contest to maintain calm, to impose order over chaos and reason over passion. The dissidents to Obama’s vision, by necessity and by definition, are loud and conspicuous. They capture our attention. But they are not the majority, and they are not bound to prevail."

http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/07/is-not-1968.html

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