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Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Expanding the Map in Wisconsin

Just kidding. The map is being expanded in Georgia, Arizona, even Utah, even Kansas and Missouri but Wisconsin? Turns out it's not a swing state.

"Among likely voters in WI, Clinton 52%, Trump 37%, with 10% supporting neither. In July, it was 45%/41%/14%. #mulawpoll"

So Hillary is over 50% in Wisconsin among likely voters.

This is what expanding the map looks like:

"Kaine was in Texas yesterday. Bill Clinton is in Utah this week. Hillary Clinton writes a Utah op-ed."

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/763416107172724736

"Scoop: Hillary Clinton is pitching Mormon voters with an op-ed in Utah's Deseret News. Will be published soon."

https://twitter.com/mckaycoppins/status/763396160371453952

Yep, it's that time already. Trumpsters have an unskewed polls website already. It's August 10.

https://twitter.com/BruceBartlett/status/763376192997171201

Still just under three months to go. Romney didn't have these till late October.

One in five GOPer wants Trump to drop out.

https://twitter.com/BruceBartlett/status/763370824061640704

"Sean Hannity says, don't worry, Trump has more Twitter followers which means 'He could win in a landslide.'

https://twitter.com/BruceBartlett/status/763349667803529219

Not count every vote, but every tweet.

Pennsylvania looks to be back in Hillary's firewall.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/

If so this requires Trump to run the table in other swing states.

"Again without Pennsylvania, it's nearly impossible for Trump to win."

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/763119361519448065

"This is the only post-convention survey in NH. It had Clinton up 15. Clinton wins CO/VA/PA + NH she's over 270 http://d279m997dpfwgl.cloudfront.net/wp/2016/08/Topline-2016-08-WBUR-NH-General-2.pdf …

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/763123708680671232

What has to concern GOP strategists: Dem leads (for WH or SEN) are increasing when you go from RV to LV models"

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/763427507379077121

Usually the GOP gains in moving to LV.

Meanwhile McGinty is leading Toomey by 4 in a new PA poll which is not surprising with Hillary up close to double digits in the state.

Feingold also up big in Wisconsin:

"Among likely voters, Feingold 53%, Johnson 42%. In July, it was Feingold 49%, Johnson 44%."

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