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Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Hillary Expands Her Lead to 45-33 in New Reuters/Ipsos Poll

As Nate Silver says, today was a very tough day of polling for Donald Trump

"Pretty bad polling day for Trump after a couple where he'd seemed to be making progress. http://53eig.ht/29fvWfn "

https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/768176355070455809

Hasn't it though?

We started off this morning with Survey Monkey Poll:

"National GE: Clinton 43 (+5)  Trump 38"

 "Johnson 11"

"Stein 5"

"2-Way: Clinton 50 (+8) Trump 42"

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers

Then a Virginia poll-Obama won VA in 2012 by 4 points.

#NEW Virginia GE Clinton 48 (+16) Trump 32 Johnson 8 Stein 3

"Head-2-Head Clinton 55 (+19) Trump 36"

"Roanoke College http://www.roanoke.edu/about/news/rc_poll_aug_2016_politics …

https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/768070552061960196

Happy to see Jill Stein only at 3%. In an Ohio poll yesterday she was under 1%. #HillnotJill.

As for the main event, it's amazing. She's at 55% in two candidate race. Even in a four candidate race she's almost at 50%. Trump is at 36% in a two person race. That is truly awful in such a partisan era.

Usually if you slap an R by anyone''s name and they get 40%. In a four person race Trump is just barely over 30%.
Remember when Virginia was a swing state?

Florida is supposed to be a swing state and in some post Convention polls Trump has been a little closer than the close to or in excess of double digits he has been in PA, VA, NC, and CO.

But in a new Florida poll, he's down 14.
#NEW Florida General Election: 

"Clinton 52% (+14) Trump 38%"

 "Saint Leo University"

"Obama won FL in 2012 by 1%."
https://twitter.com/PpollingNumbers/status/768131381167792128

Now we have the Reuters poll where she's up by 12. In last week's Reuter's poll she was up by 5. It's been one of her weaker post convention polls.

Not this week:

"Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican rival Donald Trump by 12 percentage points among likely voters, her strongest showing this month, according to a Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll released on Tuesday."

"The Aug. 18-22 poll showed that 45 percent of voters supported Clinton, while 33 percent backed Trump ahead of the Nov. 8 election."

"Clinton, the former U.S. secretary of state, has led Trump, a New York businessman, throughout most of the 2016 campaign. But her latest lead represents a stronger level of support than polls indicated over the past few weeks. Earlier in August, Clinton's lead over Trump ranged from 3 to 9 percentage points in the poll."

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-poll-idUSKCN10Y28J
But he pivoted last week. He said he has regrets. How could that not move America?  He told Black people they may as well vote for him as it couldn't be worse for them than it is now. You know, where they're all poor and destitute in the ghetto.

(Remember when Bernie put his foot in his mouth on this too)?

If fairness, at least Bernie didn't keep repeating that. Trump seems to like this line as much as he did the line that Obama was the founder of ISIS.

Maybe this is not the country Trump thought he knew. And if so, that is a thing to be very thankful of. 

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