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Saturday, March 19, 2016

The GOP May be Too Divided to Decide to Stop Trump

There are different ways this can happen. One way, of course is to deny him the 1237 needed.

The trouble is that on this, like so much else. the GOPers can't even agree among themselves. Is it better to have a two man race between Cruz-Trump or a three man race? Well, in any case Kasich is going nowhere now.

A bunch of GOP insiders told Politico that Kasich is the man to take the nomination-at a brokered convention, as he has no mathematical chance at winning it outright.

"Insiders: Kasich could win a contested convention."

"POLITICO Caucus members say the Ohio governor would be more acceptable to GOP delegates than Ted Cruz or Donald Trump."

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/03/john-kasich-contested-convention-insiders-220946#ixzz43LZSsAMM

However, you have Mitt Romney vowing to vote for Ted Cruz in Utah, and Carly Fiorina and Lindsay Graham endorsing Cruz.

"Mitt Romney, the 2012 Republican nominee, will be caucusing for Ted Cruz in Utah next week."

"The former Massachusetts governor said he believes no one will win the nomination outright by accruing the necessary 1,237 delegates, which would lead to multiple ballots at a contested convention."

“At this stage, the only way we can reach an open convention is for Senator Cruz to be successful in as many of the remaining nominating elections as possible,” Romney said in a Facebook post.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/03/mitt-romney-vote-ted-cruz-utah-220974#ixzz43LZxyLvY

Overall, though the Stop Trump movement is falling apart:

"Some Republicans worry that a contested convention could do more damage than not. Per Politico:

"While the anti-Trump groups have outlined a state-by-state bid to deprive him of the 1,237 delegates he needs to secure the Republican nomination and to force a contested convention in Cleveland — what would be the GOP’s first since 1976 — there’s growing worry that such an event could be traumatic for the party. Trump has said there could be “riots” if he’s denied the nomination — and while many Republicans, including Kasich, have condemned those remarks as inciting violence, many also fear the consequences if he is right."

“You’re going to push the big red button and blow up the party, at least in the short term,” said Ned Ryun, president of American Majority, a conservative group. “It’s asinine, it really is.”

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/03/18/the-stop-trump-movement-is-falling-apart/

Rachel Maddow did talk a lot about the 2012 Republican race when Ron Paul somehow managed to finagle a bunch of delegates from states where he got very few vote.

You wonder if this is the last hope of Bernie. He's been talking about somehow switching the delegates the last few days.

Is Bernie and his supporters planning to use the Ron Paul playbook where you lose all the states but somehow twist the arm of delegates? This has been a strange fall from when he was claiming that it's undemocratic for a delegate to vote differently than the voters.

The Stop Trump movement could use the Ron Paul playbook. Maybe a lot of these delegates won't want to support Trump and can be pushed not to do it.

Again though, like Ryun says, this would blowup the party. The GOP at this point seems damned if they do or don't.

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