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Wednesday, March 30, 2016

Susan Sarandon's Leninist Push to 'Heighten the Contradictions'

You have to say that only a fairly privileged person could take the prospect of a Trump win as an opportunity.

And  as long as we are doing Hitler analogies, there was a subset of the European Left who welcomed the rise of Hitler.

"What Sarandon is voicing is the old Leninist idea of “heightening the contradictions,” which holds that social conditions need to get worse in order to inspire the revolution that will make them better. In this way of thinking, the real enemy of progress is incremental reform that would render the status quo tolerable. That was the position of the German Communists in the early 1930s, who refused to ally with the Social Democrats, proclaiming: “After Hitler, our turn!” A similar—if less deadly—assumption underlay Ralph Nader’s 2000 presidential campaign, for which Sarandon served as co-chair of the national steering committee. George W. Bush, Nader argued then, could serve as a “provocateur,” awakening the power of the left. “If it were a choice between a provocateur and an ‘anesthetizer,’ I'd rather have a provocateur,”said Nader. “It would mobilize us.”

"To be fair to Nader, under Bush, the contradictions got pretty high. He left the Middle East in flames, and the economy hasn’t recovered from the financial implosion he presided over. Had Bush not wrecked so many lives, we might never have gotten President Obama and the Affordable Care Act, or, for that matter, a democratic socialist running a credible presidential primary campaign. Yet the Bush example should also make it obvious that the cost of electing a Republican provocateur is human misery on an inconceivable scale, inflicted on people who lack Sarandon’s many resources."

http://www.slate.com/blogs/xx_factor/2016/03/29/susan_sarandon_is_perfect_spokeswoman_for_neverhillary.html

This was why many Leftists opposed FDR in the 30s. As to the question of how many Berners will vote for Hillary:

Susan Sarandon is like a lot of Bernie backers: She finds the Vermont senator to be a paragon of probity, doesn’t totally trust Hillary Clinton, and she’s upset about the status quo in the United States, which she fears Clinton would perpetuate.

Unlike most Bernie backers, Sarandon is an Oscar winner who owns a chain of ping-pong lounges. But it turns out those are not the only ways she is atypical.

"Sarandon appeared on Chris Hayes’s MSNBC show Tuesday night, where she made her case for Sanders, citing his record on free trade, prisons, genetically modified foods, and more. Hayes pointed out that elections are choices, and asked whether she would vote for Clinton in a general election matchup against Donald Trump."

“I think Bernie would probably encourage people [to vote Clinton], because he doesn’t have a lot of ego in this,” she said. “But I think a lot of people are, ‘Sorry, I just can’t bring myself to do that.’” As for herself, “I don’t know. I’m going to see what happens.”

http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/03/susan-sarandon-bernie-sanders/475875/

So is she saying that she 'has an ego?'

"There are a variety of critiques one could level of Sarandon’s argument. If you’re interested in sampling them, simply look at Twitter, where many users took issue with Sarandon’s strategy while others simply posted GIFs of the closing scene from Sarandon’s Thelma and Louise. (Spoiler alert, I guess, but c’mon.) Suffice it to say that in terms of risky political strategies, whatever you think of the status quo, it’s hard to imagine that a violent revolution would do much to solve the country’s problems, as other nations that have experienced constitutional crises can attest. (There’s a reason Sanders is pushing for “revolution” through the ballot box and not other means.)"

"Setting aside the polemic, however, is Sarandon especially representative? Polls consistently show Clinton leading Sanders nationally, and more votes have been cast for her in the primary so far. In a tight election, though, a bloc of Democrats who refused to vote for Clinton or crossed over could cost her a win. Are there really “a lot” of people who support Sanders now but who, given a choice between Clinton and Trump, would either sit on their hands or pull the lever for Trump?"

"The answer is almost certainly no."

Here is the way I look at it. There are more than one type of Bernie voters.

1. I have a few friends on Twitter who voted for Obama but who have flouted with Sanders.

Nanute is one. But he pointed out last night that in his view anyone who would not vote for Hillary in the general is not a Democrat. But keep in mind he has voted since 1971-the year I was born incidentally.

One test is who voted for Obama in 2012. I would guess that very few who voted for POTUS in 2012 wouldn't vote for Hillary this time.

Basically, past is prologue. If someone voted in 2012 it's a good sign that they will. If they have a longer history of voting Dem it's even more likely they will.

2. Sarandon in her interview, talked about people who haven't voted in the past. I'd say that is the group that is a risk for not voting for her in November.

But you have to look at it this way: anyone who didn't vote for Obama in 2012 certainly won't be missed in 2016.




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