Ohio is sort of ground zero in the GOP hope to #StopTrump.
After all, Florida seems a likely disaster for Rubio. The question may end up being if he can even avoid the indignity of finishing third behind Ted Cruz. Recent polls have shown Cruz gaining on him.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html
So Kasich is the one hope for the GOP. If he wins, then they can deny Trump the 66 Ohio delegates.
This is not for the GOP about Kasich winning, necessarily, but it's vital that Trump loses. Kasich of course is hoping to be the beneficiary at some point of a brokered convention.
Trump has 460 delegates and they need to prevent him from achieving the 1237 needed for the nomination. To be sure, according to FiveThirtyEight, Trump currently has 107 percent of the delegates needed for the nomination.
Hillary currently has 113 percent on the Dem side.
So they have Romney out there trying to close the deal. Again, I'm quite skeptical he does more good than harm. We sure didn't see Mitt Romney's attacks on Trump paying off in subsequent voting.
The GOP just keeps recycling retreads. W came out to save Jeb's life in SC to no avail. A campaign that was supposed to avoid W like the plague ended up leaning on W for a futile attempt at survival.
I see something similar in Ohio. I get it that Kasich is quite popular in Ohio. the polls show him with a lead though not a big one. RCP has him up just by 3.7.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_republican_presidential_primary-4077.html
But is Romney really what he needs to close the deal? To me, Romney kind of puts the 'Establishment' tattoo right on Kasich's forehead.
In any case, I've been unclear in my own mind whether or not a Kasich win really makes it harder for Trump to win or not. In a sense it clearly does, as it takes 66 delegates that could have been Trump's in a winner take all state.
But keeping Kasich around might make it tougher for Ted Cruz, the most viable 'not Trump' left.
Sam Wang argues a Kasich win actually helps Trump.
http://prospect.org/article/losing-ohio-improves-trump%E2%80%99s-chances-win-nomination
After all, Florida seems a likely disaster for Rubio. The question may end up being if he can even avoid the indignity of finishing third behind Ted Cruz. Recent polls have shown Cruz gaining on him.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/fl/florida_republican_presidential_primary-3555.html
So Kasich is the one hope for the GOP. If he wins, then they can deny Trump the 66 Ohio delegates.
This is not for the GOP about Kasich winning, necessarily, but it's vital that Trump loses. Kasich of course is hoping to be the beneficiary at some point of a brokered convention.
Trump has 460 delegates and they need to prevent him from achieving the 1237 needed for the nomination. To be sure, according to FiveThirtyEight, Trump currently has 107 percent of the delegates needed for the nomination.
Hillary currently has 113 percent on the Dem side.
So they have Romney out there trying to close the deal. Again, I'm quite skeptical he does more good than harm. We sure didn't see Mitt Romney's attacks on Trump paying off in subsequent voting.
The GOP just keeps recycling retreads. W came out to save Jeb's life in SC to no avail. A campaign that was supposed to avoid W like the plague ended up leaning on W for a futile attempt at survival.
I see something similar in Ohio. I get it that Kasich is quite popular in Ohio. the polls show him with a lead though not a big one. RCP has him up just by 3.7.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/oh/ohio_republican_presidential_primary-4077.html
But is Romney really what he needs to close the deal? To me, Romney kind of puts the 'Establishment' tattoo right on Kasich's forehead.
In any case, I've been unclear in my own mind whether or not a Kasich win really makes it harder for Trump to win or not. In a sense it clearly does, as it takes 66 delegates that could have been Trump's in a winner take all state.
But keeping Kasich around might make it tougher for Ted Cruz, the most viable 'not Trump' left.
Sam Wang argues a Kasich win actually helps Trump.
http://prospect.org/article/losing-ohio-improves-trump%E2%80%99s-chances-win-nomination
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