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Monday, March 21, 2016

Donald Trump is Certainly not Teflon

There are some who are now trying to convince us that Hillary could be in for some real trouble. Uh, if recent polls are any gauge the opposite is true with Trump polling at just 49 percent among white voters. For a Republican Presidential candidate those are simply disastrous numbers.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/03/its-not-hillary-but-trump-who-has.html

True, he's very unpredictable, but his success has more to do with the GOP than anything else. Here is the Law of Trump:

Everything that he does works in the GOP primary but will be disastrous in the general.

The GOP is so dysfunctional that Trump was able to outwit the entire party, but the general will be a whole different ballgame.

As for the idea that Trump is teflon, just recall what President Obama did to him in 2012 and say that.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=k8TwRmX6zs4

And remember, Obama is going to be campaigning with her the entire general. Trump will have two candidates running against him.

"Neither the Clinton campaign nor several independent super PACs working on her behalf plan to respond with the same brass-knuckles style that Trump has taken with his Republican opponents, aides and outside supporters said. But in their view, Trump isn’t Teflon: Republicans waited too long to go after him, and they went about it the wrong way."

“What the Republicans did was too little, too late,” said David Brock, who runs two pro-Clinton super PACs now engaged in researching and responding to Trump. “It was petty insults. It was not strategic.”

"Justin Barasky, spokesman for the large pro-Clinton super PAC Priorities USA, said Republican candidates committed “malpractice” by failing to raise liabilities from Trump’s past or aggressively challenge him on offensive or incorrect statements."

"Implicit in the effort is real worry about Trump’s outsider appeal in a year dominated by ­working-class anger and economic anxiety. The prospect that Trump could compete for some of the blue-collar voters who have flocked to Sanders, for instance — or to reorder the map of competitive states to include trade-affected Michigan or Pennsylvania — has prompted Clinton’s allies to leave nothing to chance."

"Yet, they also believe that, although Trump has motivated a loyal plurality of supporters in primary contests, he has limited ability to expand that support once the Republican field clears. Because of the litany of controversial pronouncements he has made, they expect a Trump nomination to make it easier to rally women, Latino and African American voters to turn out for Clinton. In fact, her aides are planning for a historic gender gap between Clinton and Trump."

"Given Trump’s willingness to attack his opponents — and his pivot to going after Clinton in recent days — one clear presumption has emerged about the fall contest: It will be ugly."

"That’s one reason the former secretary of state plans to counter Trump with high-road substance, policy and issues, according to one senior campaign aide. The idea is to showcase what Clinton’s backers see as her readiness for the job without lowering her to what they describe as Trump’s gutter."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/here-comes-the-opposition-book-clinton-and-her-allies-prepare-for-trump/2016/03/20/0fc0fb04-ed51-11e5-b0fd-073d5930a7b7_story.html

I think that's a key. There is no out Trumping Trump. This was the problem with Marco Rubio, whose numbers went into the toilet after he tried that.

Hillary is going to be the anti Trump candidate. No doubt there are a lot of people who like Trump's shtick. There are even more who don't. So she wants to make this contrast with her as the anti Trump.

"A central lesson of Trump’s primary battle, the campaign aide said, is that he cannot be ignored — but also that he cannot be beaten at his own game. The key will be to maintain stature by focusing on her message of political unity and economic growth and by showing knowledge and strength on foreign issues. The aide spoke on the condition of anonymity to speak candidly about internal strategy."

It's going to be a nasty fight. With Trump in, this is guaranteed:

"It’s kind of mutually assured destruction: Both sides line up their nukes. It’s going to be just ugly and nasty and icky,” said another Democrat with longtime ties to the Clinton family. “The winner will not be the least bad of the two. The winner will be the one in the contest of that mutually assured destruction who also has a vision and a message about the future that is both inspiring and credible for the rest of the country.”

At the same time, her infrastructure of outside supporters will be poised to respond to what they expect will be Trump’s all-out war against Clinton on everything, both personal and political. Clinton’s backers acknowledged that she is also a divisive figure and that controversies such as her use of a private email server while secretary of state will not evaporate during the general election.

“We will not make the same mistake the Republicans made” by letting attacks go unchallenged, Brock said.

The beauty of Trump is that he lives in such a glass house. If he tries to hit her on the speeches-I'm sure he will-she can point out that he's been paid much more at his speeches.

For him to accuse Bill Clinton of being a predator won't work once it's recalled that Ivana Trump once wrote that he raped her because of a bad hair day-after all she recommended the offending hairstylist-and that he read Mein Kampf and kept a book of Hitler's speeches next to his bed.

http://www.businessinsider.com/donald-trumps-ex-wife-once-said-he-kept-a-book-of-hitlers-speeches-by-his-bed-2015-8

And yet no GOPer was able to hit him on this. Just shows again what bad shape this party is in, that the guy with Hitler's speeches by his bed is by far the most appealing candidate.

P.S. So Trump is not Teflon; just Teflon in the Republican primary.

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