But no doubt he and Bernie will continue to claim this-after all, what else do they have? So we have Tad Devine saying:
"As Tad Devine, a Sanders strategist, said: “People will look at different measures: How many votes did you get? How many delegates did you win? How many states did you win? But it’s really about momentum.”
It's not about momentum. It's about delegates. Bernie can dream but there is no way the delegates ignore the voters and go to him because he won a few white caucus states.
Even Bernie himself has lately been admitting he has a very tough path to victory but insists he still has one. Tad Devine is clearly still not talking about math here:
Sanders senior adviser Tad Devine said a loss for Clinton in New York "would be an enormous setback. Maybe they can recover from that, but maybe they can't. That is going to be a milestone in the nominating process."
He added, "In California, we do have the potential for a substantial victory." Recent preference polls show Clinton with a lead in the state.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/03/25/sanders_fighting_perception_he_cant_overcome_clinton_edge_130101.html
Again he's talking about a win in NY. As usual, there are two problems with this:
1. There are some real doubts that he will win NY. Hillary won it in 2008 by 14 pionts and the polls show her with a big lead in the state.
2. Assuming he does win, it's doubtful it would be a big win. If he gets a 2 point win like Michigan how is that going to be some mortal blow for her? Again, momentum is meaningless. Winning a proportional state worth so many delegates like NY is meaningless if it's a small win as Hillary will still get roughly half the delegates-not counting the super delegates which she still probably wins.3. Again, she won in 2008 and probably by a bigger margin than he can hope to. And yet her beating Obama by 14 in NY, by 7 in California, and by big margins in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, didn't somehow make up for Obama''s delegate lead.
"As Tad Devine, a Sanders strategist, said: “People will look at different measures: How many votes did you get? How many delegates did you win? How many states did you win? But it’s really about momentum.”
It's not about momentum. It's about delegates. Bernie can dream but there is no way the delegates ignore the voters and go to him because he won a few white caucus states.
Even Bernie himself has lately been admitting he has a very tough path to victory but insists he still has one. Tad Devine is clearly still not talking about math here:
Sanders senior adviser Tad Devine said a loss for Clinton in New York "would be an enormous setback. Maybe they can recover from that, but maybe they can't. That is going to be a milestone in the nominating process."
He added, "In California, we do have the potential for a substantial victory." Recent preference polls show Clinton with a lead in the state.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/03/25/sanders_fighting_perception_he_cant_overcome_clinton_edge_130101.html
Again he's talking about a win in NY. As usual, there are two problems with this:
1. There are some real doubts that he will win NY. Hillary won it in 2008 by 14 pionts and the polls show her with a big lead in the state.
2. Assuming he does win, it's doubtful it would be a big win. If he gets a 2 point win like Michigan how is that going to be some mortal blow for her? Again, momentum is meaningless. Winning a proportional state worth so many delegates like NY is meaningless if it's a small win as Hillary will still get roughly half the delegates-not counting the super delegates which she still probably wins.3. Again, she won in 2008 and probably by a bigger margin than he can hope to. And yet her beating Obama by 14 in NY, by 7 in California, and by big margins in New Jersey and Pennsylvania, didn't somehow make up for Obama''s delegate lead.
Understand something, the race is over. Bernie should get out like the Daily Kos' Markos says. That he for now says he wont, just shows Bernie's selfishness and the pattern of disdain for the Democratic party he has tried and failed to hostilely take over.
P.S. What's funny is that Tad Devine of all people knows it's not about momentum, but is trying to perpetuate this fiction. Hilarious.
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