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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Yep, Hillary Has Lower Personal Numbers as She's Running for POTUS

The media loves to belabor the fact that she has such high negative personal numbers-though Trump is considerably higher even then her's.

What they never do is provide any context. These kinds of snapshots are not static. People forget now that while she was Secretary of State she had very high numbers-she was trusted about 2 to 1.

A new Fox News poll shows a few things. First that either that February Fox poll that showed Bernie leading her nationally 47-44 was a misnomer, or that things have anyway straightened out now as she leads him in the latest FN poll, 55-42.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2016/03/23/fox-news-poll-national-general-election-32316/

That poll was taken at her nadir just before she beat him in Nevada and end the narrative that she was doomed because Bernie won NH by 22 points, though he was supposed to do that.

But it's very interesting to look at her approval numbers. FN looked at eight politicians. President Obama, Hillary, Bernie, Trump, Ted Cruz, John Kasich, Mitch McConnell, and Paul Ryan.

Two of these politicians have positive numbers: President Obama, though only by a point (49-48) and John Kasich up by seven points (40-33). Now I don't think these positives for Kasich are deserved. But I think what it reflects is that no one has been attacking him as there has been no need to, as he's losing. 

A lot of time, negative numbers just reflect that a politician has been taking a lot of incoming. Hillary is upside down at (39-58) with Trump even worse at (31-65). Ted Cruz is similar to HRC at (36-53).

Mitch McConnell interestingly has awful numbers at (12-50) which is more damning as he's not currently running for anything. This is a rebuke to the GOP Senate, and the games they are playing with Obama's SJC nominee surely aren't helping things.

Paul Ryan, the GOP leader in the House, is doing a little better though upside down at (30-40). Again, in some ways this is even more damning as he's not running for anything but clearly he is seen better than McConnell.

Meanwhile, Bernie is upside down now, (44-49), which I think reflects the fact that he's been vetted a little more now and he has gone very negative on Hillary lately with all the contrived nonsense about her paid speeches. Bernie' is bullying her with this sort of like how Scott Brown tried to bully Elizabeth Warren over Warren allegedly pretending to be a Native American to be admitted to Princeton and Lazio's race against HRC in 2000 for NY Senate when he kept badgering her to sign of paper regarding her campaign funding. He literally brandished this right in her fact at a debate and demanded that she sign. Maybe Bernie has suffered for this.

Anyway, the bottomline, is that when you run for something, when you are begging for votes, your numbers go down.

Before when she was SOS her numbers were (63-31). Then when she put herself forward to run for POTUS they went down. Also the Right really went after her with the emails and the innuendo about the Clinton Foundation and the media really hammered her on this last year.

But historically, her numbers have been good. Her numbers were very high when she was humiliated over Monica in the 90s, so sometimes high approval comes with a cost. When she is President-I'm not saying if-her numbers will climb up again.


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