Tom Brown always keeps me up to date on the latest from the Establishment Right's Queen, Jennifer Rubin.
Last week while finally giving up on Marco Rubio, she raised the specter of the Establishment running a third party candidate if Trump gets the nomination.
"If Trump gets the nomination, Republicans who regard Trump’s message and conduct as wholly unacceptable will be obligated to leave the party, withhold their financial support and refuse to vote for him. In the short run, it means finding a third conservative candidate who does not excuse despotic repression of dissidents, put the United States at odds with the entire Muslim world and advocate ordering troops to kill noncombatant women and children (a war crime). In the longer run, it means starting a different center-right party, leaving the GOP to the bigots, the con men and the fans of dictators."
"A third candidate is not likely to win in November, but fielding a candidate will be essential in order to turn out regular Republicans for down-ticket candidates. The excuse that a third candidate would help Hillary Clinton is misplaced. As the polls (the real ones, not the ones Trump imagines) make clear, Clinton is going to crush Trump, even in a one-on-one contest."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2016/03/11/lets-scrap-the-gop-and-start-over/
One of the things that the GOPers are hanging their hats on is that Trump may not get the 1237 he needs to win. He may get a plurality but not a majority.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/03/the-chances-of-gop-brokered-convention.html
I still think that the GOP is fooling itself that if Trump doesn't get 50 percent but more than anyone else they can just anoint Mitt Romney and all will be well.
Bill Kristol is right where Jennifer Rubin is. He is talking about a third party too.
"If time runs out, and Trump prevails in the Republican contest, many of us will rally behind an independent Republican candidate to save the honor of the party, and to offer a decent alternative to the American people. Edmund Burke, the founder both of party government and of modern conservatism, wrote, "When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall one by one, an unpitied sacrifice in a contemptible struggle."
http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-horror/article/2001507
What we are hearing is that the chance of a third party or of a sizable part of the GOP staying home, whether Trump wins or not:
Last week while finally giving up on Marco Rubio, she raised the specter of the Establishment running a third party candidate if Trump gets the nomination.
"If Trump gets the nomination, Republicans who regard Trump’s message and conduct as wholly unacceptable will be obligated to leave the party, withhold their financial support and refuse to vote for him. In the short run, it means finding a third conservative candidate who does not excuse despotic repression of dissidents, put the United States at odds with the entire Muslim world and advocate ordering troops to kill noncombatant women and children (a war crime). In the longer run, it means starting a different center-right party, leaving the GOP to the bigots, the con men and the fans of dictators."
"A third candidate is not likely to win in November, but fielding a candidate will be essential in order to turn out regular Republicans for down-ticket candidates. The excuse that a third candidate would help Hillary Clinton is misplaced. As the polls (the real ones, not the ones Trump imagines) make clear, Clinton is going to crush Trump, even in a one-on-one contest."
https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/right-turn/wp/2016/03/11/lets-scrap-the-gop-and-start-over/
One of the things that the GOPers are hanging their hats on is that Trump may not get the 1237 he needs to win. He may get a plurality but not a majority.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/03/the-chances-of-gop-brokered-convention.html
I still think that the GOP is fooling itself that if Trump doesn't get 50 percent but more than anyone else they can just anoint Mitt Romney and all will be well.
Bill Kristol is right where Jennifer Rubin is. He is talking about a third party too.
"If time runs out, and Trump prevails in the Republican contest, many of us will rally behind an independent Republican candidate to save the honor of the party, and to offer a decent alternative to the American people. Edmund Burke, the founder both of party government and of modern conservatism, wrote, "When bad men combine, the good must associate; else they will fall one by one, an unpitied sacrifice in a contemptible struggle."
http://www.weeklystandard.com/the-horror/article/2001507
What we are hearing is that the chance of a third party or of a sizable part of the GOP staying home, whether Trump wins or not:
1. If Trump wins the nomination then many in the Establishment like Kristol and Rubin will go third party.
2. But if Trump gets a plurality and not a majority and the GOP feels empowered to insert someone they want to see, this will lead the Trump coalition to either stay home or go third party in droves.
For the GOP it's' 'Tails you win, heads I lose.'
Which is the opposite for the American people.
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