Look, no doubt Michigan was a big surprise but some folks are going over the edge over it.
"It’s like the old Irish drinking song “Finnegan’s Wake,” the one James Joyce made famous: Every time the Democratic Party tries to hold a wake for Bernie Sanders, the voters pour whiskey on him and he turns out not to be dead. Literally no one expected Sanders to win the Michigan primary this week. You didn’t and I didn’t, so let’s not front. Based on Sanders’ impromptu press conference in Miami late on Tuesday night, he didn’t either. No poll taken during this Michigan campaign had Hillary Clinton leading by fewer than five percentage points, and the most recent surveys suggested that she was cruising toward a decisive double-digit victory."
"None of that has stopped the Clinton campaign and the Democratic political establishment from pretending that this was no huge surprise (which it was) and is no big deal (which it is). As usual, you can slice and dice the Michigan data to prove whatever point you want: Sanders did better among African-Americans than in any previous primary (although he only won about one-third of the black vote), and Clinton’s attempt to portray him as an enemy of organized labor and the auto-industry bailout may have backfired. My colleague Amanda Marcotte has advanced the argument that despite the Michigan surprise, Sanders’ weakness among voters of color and older women represents a potentially fatal Achilles’ heel, since those groups are crucial to a Democratic victory in November."
http://www.salon.com/2016/03/10/declaration_of_independence_bernies_michigan_surprise_and_the_death_of_two_party_politics/
Actually, if you look at what the Clinton team had said over the last two weeks, they had allowed for the possibility that he might win Michigan but that if so it wouldn't bring him any closer to a path to victory due to how badly he would lose in Mississippi which is exactly what happened.
No doubt, it was a big surprise relative to the polling, though what does he want? Are we supposed to go into to rapture over it?
Harry Enten said this was the biggest surprise since Gary Hart trailed Walter Mondale by 11 points in 1984 and won by 7.
Here's the good news about that. Gary Hart lost too.
And, again, most of the polls have been accurate. Upsets are often flukes as well.
P.S. In my last post I pointed out that even if they weren't a fluke and Bernie wins by 2 in Ohio as well as Illinois and Missouri, this still leaves her with 1700 delegates after next Tuesday, and more than 70 percent of the way to 2382.
"It’s like the old Irish drinking song “Finnegan’s Wake,” the one James Joyce made famous: Every time the Democratic Party tries to hold a wake for Bernie Sanders, the voters pour whiskey on him and he turns out not to be dead. Literally no one expected Sanders to win the Michigan primary this week. You didn’t and I didn’t, so let’s not front. Based on Sanders’ impromptu press conference in Miami late on Tuesday night, he didn’t either. No poll taken during this Michigan campaign had Hillary Clinton leading by fewer than five percentage points, and the most recent surveys suggested that she was cruising toward a decisive double-digit victory."
"None of that has stopped the Clinton campaign and the Democratic political establishment from pretending that this was no huge surprise (which it was) and is no big deal (which it is). As usual, you can slice and dice the Michigan data to prove whatever point you want: Sanders did better among African-Americans than in any previous primary (although he only won about one-third of the black vote), and Clinton’s attempt to portray him as an enemy of organized labor and the auto-industry bailout may have backfired. My colleague Amanda Marcotte has advanced the argument that despite the Michigan surprise, Sanders’ weakness among voters of color and older women represents a potentially fatal Achilles’ heel, since those groups are crucial to a Democratic victory in November."
http://www.salon.com/2016/03/10/declaration_of_independence_bernies_michigan_surprise_and_the_death_of_two_party_politics/
Actually, if you look at what the Clinton team had said over the last two weeks, they had allowed for the possibility that he might win Michigan but that if so it wouldn't bring him any closer to a path to victory due to how badly he would lose in Mississippi which is exactly what happened.
No doubt, it was a big surprise relative to the polling, though what does he want? Are we supposed to go into to rapture over it?
Harry Enten said this was the biggest surprise since Gary Hart trailed Walter Mondale by 11 points in 1984 and won by 7.
Here's the good news about that. Gary Hart lost too.
And, again, most of the polls have been accurate. Upsets are often flukes as well.
P.S. In my last post I pointed out that even if they weren't a fluke and Bernie wins by 2 in Ohio as well as Illinois and Missouri, this still leaves her with 1700 delegates after next Tuesday, and more than 70 percent of the way to 2382.
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