Some very good advice from an old frenemy, David Axelrod for Hillary. Everyone thinks she lost last night but she won in terms of delegates-which are the only terms that matter.
Axelrod, Obama's campaign manager who was her opponent in 2008 but is for her now has the best advice.
"@HillaryClinton still in control of race & should resist overreacting to MI in debate by either aping @SenSanders or attacking too harshly."
https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/707590417655701504
Don't overreact. The media narrative says you lost. But you didn't. As Peter Daou notes, she may be losing the narrative but she is winning the nomination.
http://bluenationreview.com/hillary-is-losing-the-expectations-game-and-winning-the-nomination/
It's important to know note that Obama didn't win 2008 by winning the narrative. Narratives are always changing. On Saturday night, the narrative was that Trump had peaked and the Stop Trump# movement was dragging him down-and that he lost last week's debate.
I thought not. It seemed to me that the debate loser last week was Marco Rubio. Just like Jeb Bush, not Trump, had lost in the SC debate.
What was funny though, is despite Rubio's absolutely terrible Saturday night-he netted just 13 delegates out of 155-the media claimed that Trump too had a terrible night. Nate Silver gave Rubio a 1 out of 10 night and Trump 2 out of 10.
This was absurd. Trump didn't have a terrible night.
1. Rubio had a terrible night.
2. Trump had an ok night. Not great but not awful.
3. Cruz had a great night.
Such is the way of media narratives is they have a hard time with number 2. Everything is always great or terrible. Nothing is ever just ho-hum.
Hillary didn't have the best possible night. Obviously she'd have rather matched the polls in Michigan and blown him out by 20 points.
Everyone will be down on the pols now but the polls were pretty accurate in the GOP primary and very accurate in her Mississippi win as well as her SC and other Southern wins.
The new narrative now from Bernie is that those don't count as they are in 'red states.' That's got to be the worst distinction yet. Black folks already face voter disenfranchisement in these red states. Now Tad Stevens is being dismissive of their vote.
But last night was still a pretty good night for math even though not for narrative. When you remember that boring old math not narrative is what matters and that narratives change every time there's a new primary or even the next poll, it was a very good night for her after all.
P.S. Finally, the betting odds has her dropping just 2.5 percent since Michigan. She's still at 90.5.
https://electionbettingodds.com/
Axelrod, Obama's campaign manager who was her opponent in 2008 but is for her now has the best advice.
"@HillaryClinton still in control of race & should resist overreacting to MI in debate by either aping @SenSanders or attacking too harshly."
https://twitter.com/davidaxelrod/status/707590417655701504
Don't overreact. The media narrative says you lost. But you didn't. As Peter Daou notes, she may be losing the narrative but she is winning the nomination.
http://bluenationreview.com/hillary-is-losing-the-expectations-game-and-winning-the-nomination/
It's important to know note that Obama didn't win 2008 by winning the narrative. Narratives are always changing. On Saturday night, the narrative was that Trump had peaked and the Stop Trump# movement was dragging him down-and that he lost last week's debate.
I thought not. It seemed to me that the debate loser last week was Marco Rubio. Just like Jeb Bush, not Trump, had lost in the SC debate.
What was funny though, is despite Rubio's absolutely terrible Saturday night-he netted just 13 delegates out of 155-the media claimed that Trump too had a terrible night. Nate Silver gave Rubio a 1 out of 10 night and Trump 2 out of 10.
This was absurd. Trump didn't have a terrible night.
1. Rubio had a terrible night.
2. Trump had an ok night. Not great but not awful.
3. Cruz had a great night.
Such is the way of media narratives is they have a hard time with number 2. Everything is always great or terrible. Nothing is ever just ho-hum.
Hillary didn't have the best possible night. Obviously she'd have rather matched the polls in Michigan and blown him out by 20 points.
Everyone will be down on the pols now but the polls were pretty accurate in the GOP primary and very accurate in her Mississippi win as well as her SC and other Southern wins.
The new narrative now from Bernie is that those don't count as they are in 'red states.' That's got to be the worst distinction yet. Black folks already face voter disenfranchisement in these red states. Now Tad Stevens is being dismissive of their vote.
But last night was still a pretty good night for math even though not for narrative. When you remember that boring old math not narrative is what matters and that narratives change every time there's a new primary or even the next poll, it was a very good night for her after all.
P.S. Finally, the betting odds has her dropping just 2.5 percent since Michigan. She's still at 90.5.
https://electionbettingodds.com/
No comments:
Post a Comment