Thursday, August 4, 2016

All Going According to Plan

Paul Manafort said Trump's drop in the polls was expected. Sure, all part of the plan.

"Donald Trump's slump in the polls is not a major cause for concern, the Republican nominee's campaign chairman Paul Manafort suggested Thursday."

"The "drop in poll numbers" was "expected" after the Democratic National Convention, Manafort told "CBS This Morning."

"As an on-screen graphic showed a Fox News national poll with Hillary Clinton ahead of Trump by 10 points, co-host Gayle King pressed on whether "this big of a drop" was anticipated."

"It depends on which poll you look at. We feel like in another week or so, the polls are going to even out," Manafort said. "We always thought we had a bounce and knew the Democrats would have a bounce. And now you see a situation in what looks like an uneven field but in two weeks we think that’s gonna even out if we are out there on our message, which we will be."

"The framework of this election favors Donald Trump. If we run the campaign that we plan on running, we think we’re going to win. We don't plan on winning in August," Manafort continued. "We plan on winning in November. And that will become evident as the campaign deploys. There is a lot going on at the local levels that you’re not seeing."

"The campaign is "feeling comfortable," Manafort explained, going on to say that as an organization it is "not comfortable" with "the narrative that the media seems to be taking which is -- which is building a storyline that -- that the Democrats are controlling the race."
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Ok. As long as you're comfortable. I kind of like what I'm seeing too, so either Paul Manafort is wrong or I'm wrong. Hm.

We've seen Hillary surge in post DNC polls and we've seen her unfavorable rating improve.

Fox News has her up by 10. CNN has her up by 9. Survey Monkey has her up by 8.

She's up by 7 in the Huffpolster average and 5 in the RCP average. But, one thing you were hearing was that Trump is doing better in swing state polls. Uh, that was then and this is now.

"State polls are showing similar trends. New surveys from New Hampshire, Michigan and Pennsylvania all indicate Clinton is erasing any gains Trump might have gotten from the Republican convention. A WBUR/MassInc poll has Clinton leading by 15 points in New Hampshire, which has been a battleground state in recent presidential elections. A Detroit News/WDIV-TV poll conducted by the Glengariff Group shows Clinton up by 9 points in Michigan. AndFranklin & Marshall College finds that Clinton is leading by 11 points in Pennsylvania. "

All according to plan. They have Hillary right where they want her. I'm sure Scott Adams is showing how fiendishly clever it is of Trump to tank in the polls like this.

But Trump is down 15 points in NH! Polls there had been close for months.

So what does Kelly Ayotte do? This is a guy who has totally insulted her now, called her a weak candidate.

"Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump fired back at GOP leaders, including Sen. Kelly Ayotte, R-NH, who criticized Trump for a running feud with the father of a Muslim-American soldier killed in action."

"Trump dismissed Ayotte, who faces a primary challenge from former state Sen. Jim Rubens of Hanover."

"You have a Kelly Ayotte who doesn’t want to talk about Trump, but I’m beating her in the polls by a lot," Trump told reporters. "You tell me are these people OK who should be representing us, you tell me."

"Ayotte has said she will vote for Trump but declined to endorse him."

"I call it like I see it, and I’m always going to stand up for our military families and what’s best for the people of New Hampshire," Ayotte said in a statement Tuesday.

- See more at:

So she is voting for a guy who insults her and is losing by 15 points in her state? For the record Trump is wrong-again.

He is not beating her in the polls, she is beating him. She's beating him by 5 points. But 15 minus 5 still leaves her down by 10 points.

Trump's favorable rating in NH is 29/60

P.S. Turns out Trump attacking the Khan family is not helping him. It's actually hurting him. A lot.

The media told us that Trump is a brilliant asymmetrical fighter. His unconventionalness would make him so tough. Turns out a strategy doesn't have to be conventional for it to be a really bad one. 

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