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Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Is Hillary in Trouble?

No question the last few days haven't provided great news. A few Iowa polls have shown a tightening race with one showing Bernie with a lead. NH shows Bernie with a lead though overall the polls don't show his lead his huge.

The media is definitely trying to urge Clinton supporters it's time to wet the bed.

On the other hand I get the sense that the Clinton team itself wants us to worry a little-to get us motivated. As much as I reject 99.9 percent of the phony criticism thrown HRC"s way there may be something to the idea that this is good for her.

Her best moments have always been when she's under fire-in 2008 as well after Obama beat her in Iowa she beat expectations by rallying to win NH.

"The structure of this primary so far has not been uniformly beneficial to Clinton. The Democratic National Committee set up too few debates, on a schedule that helped guarantee a smaller audience, that — intended or not — may have served to insulate Clinton from high profile challenges. This has not served Clinton well. She has been at her best when directly challenged in high stakes settings, such as during the debates we did have and during the marathon showdown with Benghazi committee Republicans in the fall. Exposure and challenge have been good for Clinton."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/01/12/heres-the-real-deal-on-the-latest-big-clinton-sanders-dust-up/

With all the debate over the debates-many take it as axiomatic that the DNC wants to help out Hillary by having so few debates-you could argue that she'd be better off with a few more.

Because she does very well in debates. It's easy to forget that. Before the first debate in October Bernie was pushing her in Iowa and actually led in a number of polls then too.

She hit an absolute home run in the debate and after it she soared from being down double digits in NH to leading even in that state while taking a double digit lead in Iowa.

She also killed it as Greg Sargent noted in the most adversarial circumstances imaginable in the Benghazi hearings. So this may be to the good.

"Just look at what we’re seeing now. The Clinton campaign — nervous about the growing Sanders threat — is kicking things into high gear. It has been aggressively challenging Sanders’ record on guns. It released the first piece of her tax plan yesterday, a proposal to hit those who earn over $5 million per year with a tax surcharge. Per reporting from Jennifer Epstein and Jonathan Cohn, the Clinton camp today rolled out two more pieces of this plan, a call for expanding the estate tax and a call to close various loopholes employed by the wealthy.

This is a campaign that’s fighting hard. That’s a good thing for it."

So, no, Hillary doesn't need to panic and neither do we, her supporters. But there is nothing wrong with having a little sense of urgency and not presuming this is in the bag.




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