Sunday, January 31, 2016

Good News and Bad News Heading into Iowa Caucus

The good news is that the recent post debate polls have shown Hillary winning. She is leading in every single poll that was done at least partly after the debate.

Ann Selzer's Des Moines Register poll is considered the gold standard of Iowa polling-she alone predicted Obama's big win in 2008.

It's certainly pretty good news that she is not predicting anything like this in 2016. Her poll has HRC ahead by 3 points. Though there is the O'Malley vote that will have to be divided between HRC and Bernie when he doesn't hit 15%.

Right now we're hearing that the O'Malley vote prefers Bernie 2 to 1.

Nate Silver has her favored to win by 80 percent.

But the bad news is that the Hillary team doesn't want us to look to polls for comfort. They prefer the polls to be tight so that no Hillary fan thinks she's got this and that they don't have to go out an vote in Iowa.

I don't live anywhere near to Iowa here in NY, but to those of you who do, or have friends and family who are in Iowa, remember she needs your vote.

If you want to know why it's so important that she get your vote just listen to President Obama again.

If you are With Her, now is the time to show it.

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