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Monday, April 25, 2016

Where Hillary Will be for Super Tuesday Says it all

I guess we can call it Super Tuesday-there are five states voting! And the fact that she will be in Pennsylvania tells us what her internal polling shows.

"With five northeastern states set to vote simultaneously this Tuesday, the biggest delegate prize by far is Pennsylvania. It has nearly as many delegates (189) as the other four states combined (195), meaning Hillary Clinton can win the day – and essentially seal the democratic nomination – simply by cleaning up in the Keystone State. As it turns out, Clinton just made a move which tacitly confirms that she knows she’ll win the state easily."

"Candidates try to choose their primary election night speech locations carefully. They generally have to set up such events in advance of voting, and they don’t want to risk the bad optics of having to speak in a state that was just called in favor of their opponent minutes or hours earlier. For instance on the night New York voted, Hillary had already made the decision to give her speech in New York City."

"That meant that her internal polling, which is much more detailed and more frequently updated than any external polling that we get to see as voters or journalists, had already confirmed to her that she was going to win New York by a safe margin. Bernie Sanders, whose internal data almost surely told him that he was going to lose New York badly, responded accordingly by giving a speech that night in an upcoming state instead. As it turns out, Hillary has already confirmed her speaking location for this Tuesday night, and it tells us everything we need to know."

"Hillary will be spending the evening of the Pennsylvania primary giving a speech at the Philadelphia Convention Center. That means her internal data has already confirmed to her that she’ll win Pennsylvania for certain, and that she’s ahead by a big enough margin that things have no chance of swinging the other way over the next forty-eight hours. Of course Philadelphia is also the location of this summer’s Democratic National Convention, so Tuesday night’s speech will allow her to symbolically pivot toward the general election."

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/hillary-clinton-campaign-just-confirmed-pennsylvania-is-a-lock-for-her/24575/

It should be a great night

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/04/according-to-benchmark-politics-next.html

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