Great line from Michael Nutter, the former Mayor of Philadelphia.
"Sanders has called the state’s closed primary on Tuesday “enormously important,” and repeated his standard claim that his chances are good if turnout is high."
"But even a strong turnout may not be enough for the Vermont senator, since polling shows Clinton with a double-digit lead."
"Clinton, who won the state by 9 points in 2008, has the endorsements of Sen. Bob Casey and Gov. Tom Wolf, as well as the mayors of of the state’s two biggest cities — Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. She’s also been endorsed by The Philadelphia Inquirer."
“The Clintons are known here,” said former state Democratic Party chairman T.J. Rooney. “Either one of them could pick up the phone and call ward leaders and state committee folks and it would not be the first or second or third time they received a call. So there is that longevity, that familiarity. They’re well-regarded. It’s hard in this state, in this environment to generate the kind of enthusiasm that Sen. Sanders would need to generate.”
“Hillary Clinton is very well known throughout Pennsylvania,” said former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter. “She has family roots and history in Pennsylvania. She’s come to Pennsylvania numerous times, certainly Philadelphia and other parts of Pennsylvania, so I think that’s just a part of who she is and what she’s about. I mean she’s not new to the state. I, personally, have no idea how many times prior to this presidential race that Sen. Sanders has been in Pennsylvania. But on the other hand, generally for what reason would he be coming to Pennsylvania? He’s a senator from Vermont.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-northeast-primaries-222272#ixzz46wGSWIqU
It reminds me of the time Charlie Rangel said of Bernie in Harlem: 'Nobody has talked with Bernie Sanders. Now a few people have been lectured by him.'
An interesting question: how many black folks did Bernie have on his staff before he started running for President?
In any case, Hillary should be in for a strong win in Pennsylvania. The demographics favor her and there are signs that she may even outperform her demographics as she did in Ohio.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/04/did-bernie-lose-ground-in-pennsylvania.html
Bernie himself is admitting that they lost ground after getting blown out in NY. Benchmark Politics which had Hillary up 55-45 has revised their benchmark to 57-43.
There have now been 4 different polls which have her up by 20 or more in the state-though BM doesn't think she'll win by that much.
Meanwhile she should have a big win in Maryland and Delaware. Connecticut had a poll with Bernie within 2 yesterday but Benchmark Politics didn't put any stock in it-they throw out the highest and lowest polls.
In any case, polling is only 25 percent of their model. So they still have her winning in Connecticut 55-45. It's interesting as most recent polling has been a little closer there.
"Sanders has called the state’s closed primary on Tuesday “enormously important,” and repeated his standard claim that his chances are good if turnout is high."
"But even a strong turnout may not be enough for the Vermont senator, since polling shows Clinton with a double-digit lead."
"Clinton, who won the state by 9 points in 2008, has the endorsements of Sen. Bob Casey and Gov. Tom Wolf, as well as the mayors of of the state’s two biggest cities — Pittsburgh and Philadelphia. She’s also been endorsed by The Philadelphia Inquirer."
“The Clintons are known here,” said former state Democratic Party chairman T.J. Rooney. “Either one of them could pick up the phone and call ward leaders and state committee folks and it would not be the first or second or third time they received a call. So there is that longevity, that familiarity. They’re well-regarded. It’s hard in this state, in this environment to generate the kind of enthusiasm that Sen. Sanders would need to generate.”
“Hillary Clinton is very well known throughout Pennsylvania,” said former Philadelphia Mayor Michael Nutter. “She has family roots and history in Pennsylvania. She’s come to Pennsylvania numerous times, certainly Philadelphia and other parts of Pennsylvania, so I think that’s just a part of who she is and what she’s about. I mean she’s not new to the state. I, personally, have no idea how many times prior to this presidential race that Sen. Sanders has been in Pennsylvania. But on the other hand, generally for what reason would he be coming to Pennsylvania? He’s a senator from Vermont.”
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/hillary-clinton-bernie-sanders-northeast-primaries-222272#ixzz46wGSWIqU
It reminds me of the time Charlie Rangel said of Bernie in Harlem: 'Nobody has talked with Bernie Sanders. Now a few people have been lectured by him.'
An interesting question: how many black folks did Bernie have on his staff before he started running for President?
In any case, Hillary should be in for a strong win in Pennsylvania. The demographics favor her and there are signs that she may even outperform her demographics as she did in Ohio.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/04/did-bernie-lose-ground-in-pennsylvania.html
Bernie himself is admitting that they lost ground after getting blown out in NY. Benchmark Politics which had Hillary up 55-45 has revised their benchmark to 57-43.
There have now been 4 different polls which have her up by 20 or more in the state-though BM doesn't think she'll win by that much.
Meanwhile she should have a big win in Maryland and Delaware. Connecticut had a poll with Bernie within 2 yesterday but Benchmark Politics didn't put any stock in it-they throw out the highest and lowest polls.
In any case, polling is only 25 percent of their model. So they still have her winning in Connecticut 55-45. It's interesting as most recent polling has been a little closer there.
On the other hand even at 57-43, this is a little below the averages in Pennsylvania which has her up by 16.
The one state that Bernie has a decent shot at winning is Rhode Island. A poll yesterday showed him up by 4 points, though this is PPP which has tended to underestimate her.
They only had her up by 11 in NY-though most polling was similar. She outperformed most of her NY polling.
They now have her winning Rhode Island by literally .25 points. There are some divergences between Benchmark Politics and FiveThirtyEight averages. It will be interesting to see who gets it right.
They only had her up by 11 in NY-though most polling was similar. She outperformed most of her NY polling.
They now have her winning Rhode Island by literally .25 points. There are some divergences between Benchmark Politics and FiveThirtyEight averages. It will be interesting to see who gets it right.
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