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Tuesday, April 26, 2016

#NeverTrump and Irrational Exuberance After Wisconsin

A great phrase by Dana Milbank on MSNBC that nails it. I never got why there was so much exuberance over Cruz winning Wisconsin either-that was clearly not a great state for Trump.

But many made a huge deal about it. Nate Silver was totally guilty too. He insisted that the Cruz win in Wisconsin was unexpected and proof that the Party was finally Deciding.

In NY Trump won as expected but he did it with a giant exclamation point, winning with over 60 percent of the vote.

Actually, the exuberance of #NeverTrump after Wisconsin was similar to the exuberance of the Berners after the same. Bernie won a lot of white states, mostly caucuses, but much of the media started trumpeting his 'momentum.'

In both Hillary and Trump's cases, the media got snowed by buying into the false momentum meme. NY was a douse of reality on both sides.

As for the Kasich-Cruz merger, I'm convinced that this is probably doing more harm than good. It's way too late. And it makes them both look pitiful and desperate-no one is better than Trump at exploiting opponents who look pitiful and desperate.

I think 1 for 41 Kasich is inspired as it's right on the nose. As Jamelle Bouie says, what Trump has is what his GOP opponents lack: democratic legitimacy. 

http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/04/cruz_kasich_alliance_won_t_help_against_trump.html

Kasich's nickname is simply devestating. He literally assaulted a reporter himself when someone asked him about winning only 1 state a few weeks ago.

http://www.mediaite.com/online/can-i-finish-kasich-gets-testy-with-reporter-grabs-his-recorder/

Maybe that reporter should sue Kasich like that female Breitbart reporter sued Trump''s manager.

It's devastating as the question begs: how does someone who has one 1 out of 41 states have any legitimate claim on the nomination? Kasich actually has fewer delegates and votes than Marco Rubio who left the race six weeks ago.

As for Cruz, he is not setting the world on fire either:

"Cruz has won less than 30 percent of the vote so far, which is likely to tumble further after tonight. #weak"
https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/725040146186395648

If they were going to do this alliance, they should have been quiet about it. It just gives a lot more gist for Trump's mill. It makes them both look pitiful. MSNBC had some voters today who were undecided between Trump and Cruz and now are all going to Trump.

In Indiana Kasich voters are largely saying they will stay with Kasich. Some though are leaving: for Trump. They find Kasich getting in this as too desperate.

I guess this idea made sense from Cruz's perspective-and as for Kasich, he lacks any viability anyway.

But there's a saying: First do no harm. It seems to me this pitiful alliance does considerably more harm than good.


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