That sounds pretty nice and it's in line with averages.
"13% not voting for Clinton vs 18% not voting for Sanders in the general is the smoking gun as to who won NY today."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722539773383024644
"To be clear we haven't called anything, but a few of the exit poll numbers confirm that Clinton is probably going to win, which we predicted."
"13% not voting for Clinton vs 18% not voting for Sanders in the general is the smoking gun as to who won NY today."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722539773383024644
"To be clear we haven't called anything, but a few of the exit poll numbers confirm that Clinton is probably going to win, which we predicted."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722546172871618560
Not a call but a prediction.
Not a call but a prediction.
"Our predicted benchmark is Clinton 57% Sanders 43% from a week ago and we still feel confident in that benchmark."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722546402274840576
Observes a Goffman on this link:
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722546402274840576
Observes a Goffman on this link:
"If that holds. It's time for him to move on."
What's interesting is that the polls in NY haven't budged since March 22. She's consistently had a double digit lead.
What's interesting is that the polls in NY haven't budged since March 22. She's consistently had a double digit lead.
More good news for Hillary:
"White voters WAY down and Latino voters WAY up. In 2008, black was 17% and White was 71%."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722540150119530497
FiveThirtyEight has her up about 15 points.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/#polls-only
The latest whine from Bernie is that independent voters can't vote in closed primary so this is 'voter suppression.' No, voter suppression is the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act not a closed primary.
Seriously, independents tend not to like Democrats. They vote for Bernie because they dislike partisanship. Why would Democrats want these folks to pick our nominees?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-sanders-does-better-with-independents/
P.S. "We have a breakdown of expected delegate haul if she wins 57%-43%. It would be between +19-+49 depending on CDs http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-city-and-surrounding-areas.html?m=1 …
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722551490313789440
"White voters WAY down and Latino voters WAY up. In 2008, black was 17% and White was 71%."
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722540150119530497
FiveThirtyEight has her up about 15 points.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/new-york-democratic/#polls-only
The latest whine from Bernie is that independent voters can't vote in closed primary so this is 'voter suppression.' No, voter suppression is the Supreme Court gutting the Voting Rights Act not a closed primary.
Seriously, independents tend not to like Democrats. They vote for Bernie because they dislike partisanship. Why would Democrats want these folks to pick our nominees?
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-sanders-does-better-with-independents/
P.S. "We have a breakdown of expected delegate haul if she wins 57%-43%. It would be between +19-+49 depending on CDs http://www.benchmarkpolitics.com/2016/04/new-york-city-and-surrounding-areas.html?m=1 …
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722551490313789440
"From the exit polls we don't know her floor, but her ceiling is probably 62%"
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722550875583983616
https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/722550875583983616
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