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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Feel the Math: Hillary Will Officially Clinch Nomination Soon

Not to brag or anything but remember when I predicted she would have about 2160 delegates coming out of last night?

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/04/according-to-benchmark-politics-next.html

Ahem:

"HILLARY CAMP SEES POSSIBLE VICTORY IN MAY: Here’s the Hillary campaign’s reading on yesterday’s results and what they mean for the delegate math:

"Clinton advisers predicted late Tuesday night that she was poised to net roughly 50 more pledged delegates than Mr. Sanders, out of 462 up for grabs, adding to her lead of about 240 going into the primaries. Clinton advisers said Tuesday’s final delegate tally would reveal not if, but when, Mrs. Clinton would win the nomination: either in early June, if she continues at her current pace, or as soon as the Kentucky and Oregon primaries on May 17."

"That’s if the super-delegates are included. The current count is that Clinton has 2,159, versus 1,370 for Sanders, out of 2,383 needed to win the nomination."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/04/27/donald-trump-tries-to-project-strength-but-reveals-his-brittle-glass-jaw/

The truth is she's very close to 2383 now, when you factor in outstanding super delegates. There are 193 which have not declared yet. She will get roughly 180 of them. So in truth, she is at about 2339 now.

The question is how quickly do these undeclareds start trickling in? Her big wins last week in NY and last night in Pennsylvania and Maryland should enable a lot more to feel free to declare. Bernie himself may finally see the writing on the wall.

"DID BERNIE JUST CONCEDE DEFEAT? Via Philip Bump, the Sanders campaign released this statement last night:

"The people in every state in this country should have the right to determine who they want as president and what the agenda of the Democratic Party should be. That’s why we are in this race until the last vote is cast. That is why this campaign is going to the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia with as many delegates as possible to fight for a progressive party platform."

"That sounds like Sanders is admitting that his aim at this point is to influence the party platform. It’s consistent with the scenario in which he concedes after the voting but before the convention."


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