Just as well, as he seems not to be winning it. Matt Yglesias:
"Just another Deep South state to be written off."
"Sanders on New York: So what if I lose?"
"The Brooklyn-born Vermont senator bemoans 'bad' New York state election law."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-new-york-
"Just another Deep South state to be written off."
https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/721873589381808128
It's rather uncanny how consistent the polling has been here in NY. Emerson has her up 55-40.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ny/new_york_democratic_presidential_primary-4221.html
The averages have her up by about 13. Literally every poll taken since March 22 have shown this a stable race with her up double digits. Always at least 10, as high has 17 or 18. Amazing.
Yes, Michigan was a surprise but that was an open primary so there was more room for surprises. In this case we know who can and cannot vote.
Turns out a platform of taking a blow torch to the NY banking system is not the crowd pleaser Bernie thought it would be.
Meanwhile, Bernie is trying to manage expectations in NY.
"The Brooklyn-born Vermont senator bemoans 'bad' New York state election law."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-new-york-
"Bernie Sanders’ path to the nomination has narrowed to a sliver, and Tuesday’s primary in New York looks like it will squeeze it further. But the Vermont senator was defiant as he made the TV rounds on the eve of the crucial contest. His message: So what if I lose?"
"Sanders’ campaign in recent days has downplayed the importance of winning the popular vote in the delegate-rich state, pointing to Clinton's once gargantuan advantage in the polls shrinking to single digits by some counts."
"Those are the public polls. The bottom line is, let's look at the real poll tomorrow," Sanders told NBC's "Today" in the first of three in-studio interviews Monday morning. "Generally speaking, polling has underestimated how we do in elections."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-new-york-222077#ixzz46BqZWUZ4
1. I don't know what polls have shown he's within single digits. RCP has every major poll since March 22 and in not a single one is he under 10 points.
2. Polls haven't consistently underestimated him. In one state it did-Michigan. Others state polls have overestimated how he'd do. There's no consistent pattern either way.
3. When he says it doesn't matter if he loses NY, that is false, if you are talking about him winning the nomination. Even in the unlikely chance he won by Michigan sliver it wouldn't help math wise but losing it kills even the narrative that he has momentum.
Bottomline: if the goal is the nomination, it matters a lot if he loses. But he's not going to win the nomination and his team knows this very well. In that sense-sure, so what if he loses NY? Either way, he's not winning the nomination.
"Sanders’ campaign in recent days has downplayed the importance of winning the popular vote in the delegate-rich state, pointing to Clinton's once gargantuan advantage in the polls shrinking to single digits by some counts."
"Those are the public polls. The bottom line is, let's look at the real poll tomorrow," Sanders told NBC's "Today" in the first of three in-studio interviews Monday morning. "Generally speaking, polling has underestimated how we do in elections."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/04/bernie-sanders-new-york-222077#ixzz46BqZWUZ4
1. I don't know what polls have shown he's within single digits. RCP has every major poll since March 22 and in not a single one is he under 10 points.
2. Polls haven't consistently underestimated him. In one state it did-Michigan. Others state polls have overestimated how he'd do. There's no consistent pattern either way.
3. When he says it doesn't matter if he loses NY, that is false, if you are talking about him winning the nomination. Even in the unlikely chance he won by Michigan sliver it wouldn't help math wise but losing it kills even the narrative that he has momentum.
Bottomline: if the goal is the nomination, it matters a lot if he loses. But he's not going to win the nomination and his team knows this very well. In that sense-sure, so what if he loses NY? Either way, he's not winning the nomination.
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