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Wednesday, April 27, 2016

Bill Clinton is Going to be the Nation's First First Gentleman

As far as the nomination goes, Hillary Clinton is going to be the Democratic nominee. Even Bernie Sanders seems to be confirming this now.

"Sen. Bernie Sanders vowed Tuesday night to go all the way to the Democratic National Convention this summer despite losing four of five contests in the April 26 primaries."

"But he signaled that his focus would shift from winning the nomination — an all-but-impossible task given Hillary Clinton's nearly insurmountable delegate lead — to influencing the platform of the Democratic Party."

In a statement issued after Clinton sealed wins in Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland and Pennsylvania while losing Rhode Island, Sanders congratulated Clinton on her victories and said he looked forward to "issue-oriented campaigns in the 14 contests to come."

"The people in every state in this country should have the right to determine who they want as president and what the agenda of the Democratic Party should be," he said. "That's why we are in this race until the last vote is cast."

"That is why this campaign is going to the Democratic National Convention in Philadelphia with as many delegates as possible to fight for a progressive party platform that calls for a $15 an hour minimum wage, an end to our disastrous trade policies, a Medicare-for-all health care system, breaking up Wall Street financial institutions, ending fracking in our country, making public colleges and universities tuition free and passing a carbon tax so we can effectively address the planetary crisis of climate change," he continued.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/bernie-sanders-election-results-convention-222506#ixzz471iiH4cN

The Associated Press is now saying that she can lose every remaining primary and still win. The betting odds now give her a 96 percent chance to win the nomination-Trump has a 77 percent chance to win the GOP

https://electionbettingodds.com/week.html

But for the general, they give her an almost 75 percent chance to win. That's before the general has even started. Trump has a 18 percent chance. Cruz has a 2.6 percent shot and Bernie's down to 1.8 percent.

These are some pretty strong odds. I mention Bill being the First Gentleman in the title based on a reader leaving this link.

If Hillary Clinton is elected President in 2016, there will be 2 President Clintons in the United States. Bill Clinton has joked about being called the "1st First Gentleman"

http://1stfirstgentleman.com/

As for Hilary, there are some who expect this to be a tough race against Trump and warn that she can lose. I agree it will be tough-it's always going to be tough if you're running for President of the United States. It should be.

But Matt Yglesias sums up my view of the thing:

"Democrats have thus far resisted fully unloading on Trump in part because they hesitate to fully reveal exactly how weak a general election candidate he would likely be. But it's not necessary to wait all the way until Trump is crowned in Cleveland to start rolling out the big guns. In fact, hitting Trump while the nomination is still at least a little up in the air and anti-Trump conservatives are actively hitting him too gives it added oomph."
http://www.vox.com/2016/4/26/11513062/hillary-clinton-pivot

I have resisted it and will continue to resist it until he has the nomination. Why give #NeverTrump a strong talking point? I mean Trump is telling his base he will beat Hillary easily and why disabuse them of it-until the election?

However, what Trump did say about her last night is just Exhibit A of how weak he is going to be. He liked Bernie's claim that she is unqualified: he ignores that this was a loser for Bernie.

He claims that if she weren't a woman she'd be at 5 percent. He also says that women don't like her. You know who women really don't like? Donald Trump. And this gendered attack on Hillary is a perfect example of why.

If Trump were at all smart he'd avoid gender altogether. Of course, he will do the opposite and magnify it. Which is just one reason I am so confident Bill will be the First First Lady and Hillary will be the first female President of the United States.

Women don't like the suggestion that Hillary is just there because of her gender as it reminds them of the attitude they themselves have often faced. Trump's use of this Maureen Dowd style attack is going to be a disaster in the general.

Trump's attacks on the 'gender card' will get Maureen Dowd's and Camille Paglia's vote, but that's about it as far as women go.

Trump then complained about Hillary shouting again.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/trump-hillary-clinton-woman-card-222519?lo=ap_b2

That's going to be a winning argument. Women love when males complain about them shouting.

UPDATE: This tweet Jill Filipovic says it well:

"Obviously a man who was a senator, Secretary of State, & one of the most admired people in the country would have no shot at the presidency."

https://twitter.com/JillFilipovic/status/725230858160971776

Hillary has been the most admired woman in the world for something like the last 20 years in a row.

P.S. Anyway, we Hilary supporters have had to wait a long time. Though I was proud to vote for Obama twice, I had been for Hillary first. I've personally wanted her to be President since her husband was President.

It won't be long now. 

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