Pages

Tuesday, April 26, 2016

After Tonight, Bernie to Do a Reassess

A lot of confusion about the NY Times story this morning. Jane Sanders furouisly declared Bernie would not get out tonight no matter how bad he does.

Yamiche Alcindor sets the record straight:

"Anyone reading story & headline knows we weren't saying Sanders is quitting. But senior strategist spoke in detail to me about reassessing."

https://twitter.com/Yamiche/status/725061759623663616

Here is the actual piece.

"Senator Bernie Sanders and his campaign advisers plan to reassess where his candidacy stands after five states vote on Tuesday, though he is adamant that he will remain in the race until the Democratic convention this summer."

“If we are sitting here and there’s no sort of mathematical way to do it, we will be upfront about that,” Tad Devine, Mr. Sanders’s senior strategist, said in an interview. “If we have a really good day, we are going to continue to talk about winning most of the pledged delegates because we will be on a path toward it. If we don’t get enough today to make it clear that we can do it by the end, it’s going to be hard to talk about it. That’s not going to be a credible path. Instead, we will talk about what we intend to do between now and the end and how we can get there.”

http://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2016/04/26/bernie-sanders-to-reassess-candidacy-after-tuesdays-vote-but-hell-stay-in-race/?smid=tw-share&_r=0

Tad Devine is always the more rational one anyway-compared to Jeff Weaver. Devine is a Democratic veteran and this is neither his first nor his last rodeo.

Meanwhile some potentially good news out of Maryland. The exit polls have turnout at 46 percent black and 43 percent white. This could bode very well for Hillary.
ARG looks to have blown MD's poll. MD will be almost certainly closer to our benchmark model."

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/725075673254076417

ARG was that Maryland poll that claimed she had just a 6 point lead-absurd on its face. But Benchmark Politics predicted a 66-34 Hillary victory. Based on this exit polls they now think it possibly could even be higher.

Meanwhile on Pennsylvania:

"Clinton +20% result, given how many people in PA answered "energized party" and how much they favor Clinton."

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/725078075847888897

The reason I keep quoting Benchmark for you is that they're accurate. Here is what the first exit polls show:

"Early exits show Clinton +22% in PA (they released numbers that allowed a back calculation)"

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/with_replies

Pace yourselves, Hillary lovers. We still have over two hours till polls close. And BM cautions that exit polls can be way off-like last week in NY.

But everything suggests this is going to be a very good night for Hillary Clinton. Right now there are pictures of her hanging with that man, himself, in Philadelphia: Eric Holder.

They wouldn't get the former Attorney General out here to see a loser.

No comments:

Post a Comment