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Monday, November 2, 2015

Why Does Economy Do Better Under Democrats?

That the correlation exists is not debatable.

http://www.amazon.com/Theyre-Not-Even-Close-Democratic/dp/1880026090/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1446470971&sr=8-1&keywords=not+even+close

To be sure a basic fact of economics is correlation doesn't prove causation.

Even so, what are the chances that such a strong correlation is purely coincidental?

So let's hear from an actual economist-Paul Krugman:

"Last week The Wall Street Journal published an op-ed article by Carly Fiorina titled “Hillary Clinton Flunks Economics,” ridiculing Mrs. Clinton’s assertions that the U.S. economy does better under Democrats. “America,” declared Ms. Fiorina, “needs someone in the White House who actually knows how the economy works.”

"Well, we can agree on that much."

"Partisan positioning on the economy is actually quite strange. Republicans talk about economic growth all the time. They attack Democrats for “job-killing” government regulations, they promise great things if elected, they predicate their tax plans on the assumption that growth will soar and raise revenues. Democrats are far more cautious. Yet Mrs. Clinton is completely right about the record: historically, the economy has indeed done better under Democrats."

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/02/opinion/partisan-growth-gaps.html?ref=opinion&_r=0

I think that's already a tell. The fact that Democrats are far more cautious. That's already more in line with how economists actually think. The GOP is infamous for making wild promises. 

Jeb is running on achieving 4% GDP. How did he come by this number? Just because it sounded good in a rap session. Wish I was kidding. 

Huckabee then one upped Jeb by promising 6% GDP. It's easy to run as a GOP Presidential candidate.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/move-over-jeb-mike-huckabee-promises-6.html

 Watch me get in: GOPers make me your nominee. Jeb will just give you 4% growth and Huck 6%.

I promise if elected I will give you 8% GDP. That and and impeach HIllary Clinton. Ok the liberal media says that makes no sense. Ignore them!

As Krugman goes on to say, we don't know for sure why the Dems have this advantage. It could just be luck. In truth the President is always given too much credit or blame for the economy. 

"Hence the asymmetry between the parties. Democrats can afford to be cautious in their economic promises precisely because their policies can be sold on their merits. Republicans must sell an essentially unpopular agenda by confidently declaring that they have the ultimate recipe for prosperity — and hope that nobody points out their historically poor track record."




6 comments:

  1. I'd like to see Trump come out and guarantee that he can provide 100% growth.

    Then I want to see Ben Carson promise 200%.

    How will he do it? Negative taxation. If you make a $billion a year and pay $200 million in taxes... now instead you'll be paid $200 million! That way job creators will create more jobs!

    Loser scum who don't have jobs will be given a flat tax... so they'll have to turn to organ harvesters to raise enough money to pay them.

    Job takers (people in the middle) who don't really contribute much (after all they take jobs rather than make them), will be taxes on a regressive basis... that is until they pass the magic $2 million per year 0% tax threshold. Those making over $2 million will "pay" negative taxes.

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  2. Makes sense to me-if I'm a supply sider.

    Bring back the poor laws for the losers. By selling their organs at least they will be engaging in market activity.

    They will learn a sense of industry. What's not to like?

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  3. Then all we need to do to fix democracy is to assign votes according to how many jobs you create and how many dollars you make. Probably 1 vote per net job created (so if you're only a job taker, you're already in the hole by -1). Then another vote per $250 k of annual income.

    That way we restore balance.

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  4. Now Carly Fiorina's old boss had this idea already. The more money you make the more votes you get.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. So you're saying it's already been vetted?

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    2. Indeed it has. By the way her old boss is interested in interviewing you. for a new important position. LOL

      Delete