A number of polls in the last week have seemed to show Carson's slip and Cruz's rise-and Trump's tightening grip on first place-and this new poll seems to confirm it.
"Donald Trump's grip on the Republican presidential race grew tighter on Friday as the standing of Ben Carson fell in the latest NBC News/Survey Monkey online poll of Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationwide. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, meanwhile, is moving closer to the top."
"The Manhattan business mogul picked up 28 percent, followed by Carson and Cruz, who are tied at 18 percent. In the previous survey, released in October, Trump and Carson had been locked in a virtual tie at 26 percent each, followed by 10 percent for Cruz"
"In the latest survey, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio trails the top three with 11 percent, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina tied at 3 percent. All other candidates earned less than 3 percent support."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/11/poll-gop-2016-field-trump-216097#ixzz3s2LPElVh
A PPP poll seemed to show a similar trend.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/establishment-fears-rising-power-of-ted.html
It might be the case, then, that the recent spate of wild stories about Carson that as Trump puts it seem to indicate that he's either a sociopath or a pathological liar have been a drag.
Every day seems to be a new Carson yarn. The last few days it's been him repudiating people in his own campaign.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/ben-carson-armstrong-williams-independent-agent
"Carson is the top candidate of 25 percent of white evangelicals, though his advantage in that group has declined 8 percentage points since last month. Meanwhile, Trump, with 23 percent, and Cruz, at 22 percent, have gained on the retired neurosurgeon among that religious community."
"Carson's drop comes after weeks of media stories and reporting over his past biographical details, as well as renewed skepticism over his foreign policy acumen. In an interview with" Fox News Sunday," Carson could not name one country he would invite to participate in a coalition to fight the Islamic State after last Friday's attacks in France. And on Tuesday, The New York Times quoted Duane Clarridge, an adviser to Carson on national security and terrorism, who told the paper that the candidate has struggled to "get one iota of intelligent information about the Middle East." In response, the Carson campaign bashed the Times for taking "advantage of an elderly gentleman."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/11/poll-gop-2016-field-trump-216097#ixzz3s2MgzX2Y
Bottomline: this is 64% for the outsider candidates and 21% for the Establishment-if you consider Fiorina to be an insider which though technically an outsider I think on substance is a more traditional Republican.
"The Manhattan business mogul picked up 28 percent, followed by Carson and Cruz, who are tied at 18 percent. In the previous survey, released in October, Trump and Carson had been locked in a virtual tie at 26 percent each, followed by 10 percent for Cruz"
"In the latest survey, Florida Sen. Marco Rubio trails the top three with 11 percent, followed by former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush at 4 percent and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie and former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina tied at 3 percent. All other candidates earned less than 3 percent support."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/11/poll-gop-2016-field-trump-216097#ixzz3s2LPElVh
A PPP poll seemed to show a similar trend.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/establishment-fears-rising-power-of-ted.html
It might be the case, then, that the recent spate of wild stories about Carson that as Trump puts it seem to indicate that he's either a sociopath or a pathological liar have been a drag.
Every day seems to be a new Carson yarn. The last few days it's been him repudiating people in his own campaign.
http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/ben-carson-armstrong-williams-independent-agent
"Carson is the top candidate of 25 percent of white evangelicals, though his advantage in that group has declined 8 percentage points since last month. Meanwhile, Trump, with 23 percent, and Cruz, at 22 percent, have gained on the retired neurosurgeon among that religious community."
"Carson's drop comes after weeks of media stories and reporting over his past biographical details, as well as renewed skepticism over his foreign policy acumen. In an interview with" Fox News Sunday," Carson could not name one country he would invite to participate in a coalition to fight the Islamic State after last Friday's attacks in France. And on Tuesday, The New York Times quoted Duane Clarridge, an adviser to Carson on national security and terrorism, who told the paper that the candidate has struggled to "get one iota of intelligent information about the Middle East." In response, the Carson campaign bashed the Times for taking "advantage of an elderly gentleman."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/11/poll-gop-2016-field-trump-216097#ixzz3s2MgzX2Y
Bottomline: this is 64% for the outsider candidates and 21% for the Establishment-if you consider Fiorina to be an insider which though technically an outsider I think on substance is a more traditional Republican.
Any day now, I'm sure GOP primary voters will start paying attention.
"It might be the case, then, that the recent spate of wild stories about Carson that as Trump puts it seem to indicate that he's either a sociopath or a pathological liar have been a drag."
ReplyDeleteI doubt any ex-Carson supporters view him as a sociopath. They may have started to doubt his self professed perfect Christian honesty though. I think more damaging is that even average ex-Carson supporters can probably detect that he's a true know-nothing and these Paris attacks have made people think twice about having somebody that confused about reality in the White House.
I wouldn't assume these attacks have made the base sober minded. It's still a long way form joining 'the reality based community.' LOL
ReplyDeleteI think there was just so much with him and Trump was hammering him. Even his own campaign staffers weren't sure about him! LOL
But let's see if he really has slipped and how much.
The good news is he seems to be losing to Trump-and maybe Cruz's benefit, not Rubio.
Actually the attacks have made things worse-xenobhoia is the order of the day which helps-my man Trump.
ReplyDeleteJust think what a terrorist attack here in the US would do for him! I'm sure there are some out there praying to Jesus for such an attack right now. The bloodier the better. He could probably have the nomination wrapped up in short order. Maybe even the general!
DeleteThere's no question when a lot of these people tell us they know for a fact we will be attacked-you can hear in their voice the wish that it be so
ReplyDeleteLooks like Carson want's to one-up Trump: why not have a "database" on everybody? Lol
Deletehttp://www.cnn.com/2015/11/20/politics/ben-carson-donald-trump-database-everybody/index.html
I wonder if either of them know what a database even is.
Yes. That's smart of Dr. Ben
ReplyDelete