I mean on just basic principle it's a good thing whenever an estalblishment GOPer goes down.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/congratulations-america-bobby-jindal.html
But beyond this, Nate Silver suggests this could suggest a more general trend against the kind of candidate Jindal was-maybe it's bad news for Rubio as well Silver suggests. Well bad news for Rubio is good news for all real liberals.
After all, even that anti Hillary Tweeter Saturday night is a Rubio supporter.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/anonymous-is-unhappy-with-my-andy.html
"Jindal, Perry and Walker’s struggles reflect the unusual nature of a now 14-candidate Republican field: At this stage, it may be better to be the first choice of a medium number of voters than the second or third choice of a lot of voters. In the past, winning candidates appealed to multiple wings of the party. George W. Bush did well with the establishment and Christian conservatives in 2000. John McCain did well with the establishment andmoderates in 2008. At this point in the campaign, 2016 voters have so many choices that they don’t need to settle. They can choose the candidate who best reflects their ideological preference. Voters looking for a clean break from the establishment, for example, can choose someone like Ben Carson, Ted Cruz or Donald Trump."
"That’s potentially a dangerous sign for Marco Rubio, a candidate who supposedly appeals to multiple parts of the party. Rubio continues to be the favorite of most analysts to win the nomination (including yours truly) because he is conservative enough to appeal to the right wing, but enough of an establishment figure to satisfy the old guard as well. It’s part of the reason that he has such strong net favorability ratings."
"Yet, Rubio continues not to do particularly well on the ballot test. So is Jindal’s failure proof having it both ways won’t work in 2016?"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bobby-jindal-exit-2016-republican/
I sure hope so. Right now, I'm playing for anyone but Rubio-presuming that it's down to him, Trump, Carson, and Cruz. Meanwhile some new polls are out that seem to show Carson slipping a little and Trump taking some of his steam.
Meanwhile. the main effect of the Paris attack on GOP primary politics is to put the GOP into a anti Syrian refugee bidding war.
So guess which candidate stands to win that?
In a particularly pernicious twist, Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz both floated the notion Sunday of admitting Christian refugees from Syria but not Muslims.
"The religious test for refugees originated, as nasty things often do, in the mouth of Donald Trump, whoproclaimed in July — falsely — that Christians fleeing Syria “cannot come into this country” but Muslim refugees from Syria “can come in so easily.” Trump,later alleging — again falsely — that President Obama wanted to admit 250,000 Syrians, said he would deport refugees, who he speculates are “mostly men” and perhaps part of an Islamic State terrorist plot. (On Monday he said he would “strongly consider” closing mosques.)"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/republicans-xenophobic-bidding-war/2015/11/16/b07352a2-8ca5-11e5-ae1f-af46b7df8483_story.html
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/congratulations-america-bobby-jindal.html
But beyond this, Nate Silver suggests this could suggest a more general trend against the kind of candidate Jindal was-maybe it's bad news for Rubio as well Silver suggests. Well bad news for Rubio is good news for all real liberals.
After all, even that anti Hillary Tweeter Saturday night is a Rubio supporter.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/11/anonymous-is-unhappy-with-my-andy.html
"Jindal, Perry and Walker’s struggles reflect the unusual nature of a now 14-candidate Republican field: At this stage, it may be better to be the first choice of a medium number of voters than the second or third choice of a lot of voters. In the past, winning candidates appealed to multiple wings of the party. George W. Bush did well with the establishment and Christian conservatives in 2000. John McCain did well with the establishment andmoderates in 2008. At this point in the campaign, 2016 voters have so many choices that they don’t need to settle. They can choose the candidate who best reflects their ideological preference. Voters looking for a clean break from the establishment, for example, can choose someone like Ben Carson, Ted Cruz or Donald Trump."
"That’s potentially a dangerous sign for Marco Rubio, a candidate who supposedly appeals to multiple parts of the party. Rubio continues to be the favorite of most analysts to win the nomination (including yours truly) because he is conservative enough to appeal to the right wing, but enough of an establishment figure to satisfy the old guard as well. It’s part of the reason that he has such strong net favorability ratings."
"Yet, Rubio continues not to do particularly well on the ballot test. So is Jindal’s failure proof having it both ways won’t work in 2016?"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bobby-jindal-exit-2016-republican/
I sure hope so. Right now, I'm playing for anyone but Rubio-presuming that it's down to him, Trump, Carson, and Cruz. Meanwhile some new polls are out that seem to show Carson slipping a little and Trump taking some of his steam.
Meanwhile. the main effect of the Paris attack on GOP primary politics is to put the GOP into a anti Syrian refugee bidding war.
So guess which candidate stands to win that?
In a particularly pernicious twist, Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz both floated the notion Sunday of admitting Christian refugees from Syria but not Muslims.
"The religious test for refugees originated, as nasty things often do, in the mouth of Donald Trump, whoproclaimed in July — falsely — that Christians fleeing Syria “cannot come into this country” but Muslim refugees from Syria “can come in so easily.” Trump,later alleging — again falsely — that President Obama wanted to admit 250,000 Syrians, said he would deport refugees, who he speculates are “mostly men” and perhaps part of an Islamic State terrorist plot. (On Monday he said he would “strongly consider” closing mosques.)"
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/republicans-xenophobic-bidding-war/2015/11/16/b07352a2-8ca5-11e5-ae1f-af46b7df8483_story.html
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