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Monday, August 10, 2015

Trump: Why it's Different This Time

      Greg Sargent makes a very important point. One reason Trump may last a long while is because this is such a leaderless, rudderless, field.

      "This time, he’s gone too far. That’s what Republicans said after Donald Trump insulted John McCain over his military record, people lined up to criticize Trump and the party’s leaders hoped this ridiculous (if entertaining) political reality show could finally be wound down. But it didn’t turn out that way, and now they’re saying it all over again, after Trump sparred with Fox News’s Megyn Kelly during Thursday’s debate, then continued to throw insults at her all weekend. As The Post’s Philip Rucker and Robert Costa wrote yesterday, “Republican leaders who have watched Donald Trump’s summer surge with alarm now believe that his presidential candidacy has been contained and may begin to collapse because of his repeated attacks on a Fox News Channel star and his refusal to pledge his loyalty to the eventual GOP nominee.”

     "Perhaps they really believe that in their hearts. Or perhaps they hope that if they tell themselves and the rest of the world it’s true, then it will come to pass."

     "Trump’s campaign may be a chaotic mess, as Costa and Rucker report today, but for the moment, it doesn’t seem to matter. The only poll released since the debate is this one from NBC News, which was conducted online and uses a sample drawn from people who have taken Survey Monkey polls. While they attempt to make it as representative as possible (with a large sample and weighting for demographics), it would be a good idea to wait for confirmation from other polls before putting too much stock in it. Nevertheless, the poll showed Trump still at the top with 23 percent support among Republicans. Don’t be surprised if the other polls we see in the next few days show his support essentially unchanged. I suspect that the people who are behind him don’t care if he threatens to run as an independent or if he insults women, just like they didn’t care that he jabbed at McCain and said we ought to deport 11 million people. It’s a feature, not a bug."

    "If this were an ordinary Republican presidential primary campaign — one obvious front-runner, five or six other candidates taking long-shot bids, a predictable arc in which a challenger emerges to that front-runner and is eventually vanquished — the presence of a character like Trump might not make much of a difference. In a year like that, he might still have managed to get support from the same one out of five primary voters who are backing him now, but it wouldn’t have put him at the front of the pack and made him the center of the campaign. After a while, he probably would have gotten bored and dropped out."

    "But it’s plain that as long as Trump is ahead of the other candidates, he can convince himself he’s going to win. With 17 candidates splitting the vote and the next-highest contender managing to garner only 12 or 13 percent, that could be for quite some time."

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2015/08/10/bad-news-republicans-donald-trump-is-practically-bulletproof/

   A feature not a bug. I think that's a good name for the entire Trump campaign. And don't worry Scott Sumner, this time you can assume that I mean what I say.

   http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/sumners-not-going-to-like-krugmans-new.html

   I just don't think I've ever seen trolling like this in an American Presidential campaign. I notice that everyone is catching on-Warren Buffet, Krugman, now Greg Sargent. Let's not even mention Bill Clinton.

   http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/warren-buffet-trump-has-solid-base-of.html

   http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/bill-clinton-republican-party-kingmaker.html

  Ok, my friends, I'm off to listen to Rush Limbaugh. Who would have thought this would become a welcome part of my day. Turns out Rush is not just for Media Matters anymore.

  P.S. I mean for trolling like this maybe you have to go back to Lincoln and the rise of the GOP Know Nothing movement-'I know nothing.' Then the GOP was actually on the side of angels. That was a very long time ago.

 Maybe a historian can drop by and let us know if between Honest Abe and Trump there were any other real Know Nothing campaigns.

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