This is what's been shocking to see. It's why it is truly said that in so many ways Trump has defied electoral gravity. You aren't supposed to be able to say things like he has about taxes in Grover Norquist's GOP .
He hasn't signed any pledge and from what Trump is saying, on taxes had and Norquist aren't so close. Which highlights:
Trump is not a conservative Republican-but a sort of Right wing populist in the tradition of George Wallace, Pat Buchanan--and he shares many characteristics with Ross Perot, obviously in the sense that part of his sales pitch like Perot is 'Hey, I'm so rich they can't buy me' though Perot was somewhat unusual in being a populist of the Center.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/yes-donald-trump-is-moderate-candidate.html
This is why Trump is in many ways very perceptive of the electorate including the GOP electorate which is much less doctrinaire about cutting taxes and regulations for the rich and cutting entitlements-at least where they believe they help the white middle class rather than the nonwhite poor.-than the GOP establishment.
What they care about is nativist calls and racist and ethnic dog whistles much more than they care about Supply side economics. This has always been the case but it took Trump to take advantage of this. The rest of the GOP field toes SS orthodoxy.
"Judging from the rhetoric of the GOP presidential candidates, most of them think they need to appear to want to address inequality to be competitive in a general election. Yet party orthodoxy and GOP primary politics require them to propose to undo President Obama’s redistributive policies — chief among them the Affordable Care Act — and to support a less progressive tax structure than Obama and Democrats do."
How Republicans reconcile these two things — the need to offer solutions to inequality while vowing to roll back Obama’s efforts to redistribute resources downward — will be a key dynamic to watch.
In principle, the only acceptable answer for a Republican on inequality is to do as Rubio does and call for lower taxes on worker's bosses-in time trickle down economics will do its work.
With SS you can't directly help labor except indirectly through lower taxes and regulation for capital.
Trump though doesn't even worry about such orthodoxy.
"After losing the 2012 presidential election, Republican Party leaders vowed to craft a message they thought would be more in tune with the middle class, promising to deliver faster economic growth and to help all workers, not just the very rich. The message was built on the bedrock GOP notion that the primary enemy of the American economy is an oversized and overreaching federal government."
"But those careful plans have hit a large and brash-talking obstacle in the form of current Republican front-runner Donald J. Trump."
"Trump’s surging campaign has pushed the party in a different direction, one that often clashes with free-market principles that have long underpinned GOP economic policy. Some establishment Republicans worry that the turn could damage the economy, and their party, for years to come."
"Trump criticizes government, but he shot to the top of the GOP field by rallying voters against another enemy: immigrants from Mexico and low-wage workers in China, whom he blames for lost jobs and stagnant wages in America. He has proposed levying tariffs on imported goods, deporting millions of immigrants who entered America illegally and reducing the number of legal immigrants allowed in each year. In a further blow against conservative orthodoxy, he has said in recent interviews that he favors higher taxes on the rich and on investment income."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonkblog/wp/2015/08/31/trump-upends-gop-message-on-economy/
This is just one reason why even if Trump were to leave the campaign tomorrow he has released some Furies that won't be easily caged back in Pandora's Box.
It's why I think the GOP may literally be splitting in two soon one way or the other. For many years the contradictions in the GOP coalition has managed to not come apart openly at the seams.
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/08/what-is-the-trump-endgame.html
But Trump is changing that. However, Trump is the lightning rod but this has been a quietly festering problem for years: the real story of the this GOP Congress is how seldom the GOP Senate and GOP House can come together constructively even among themselves.
The GOP establishment and base both use each other but both have some pretty different priorities and I've thought that this may come to a head sooner or later. Trump just makes it sooner.
P.S. The Tea Party radio host extraordinaire of Boston, Howie Carr shows the efficacy of Trumo's Right wing populism and why the Jeb argument that Trump has cooties because he said nice things about Hillary Clinton seems to be falling flat:
"The RINOs sent all their sluggers out there to take him deep. First was Juan Ellis Bush, the guy who describes the heinous crimes of “valedictorians,” which is Jeb-speak for illegal aliens– as “acts of love.” Just ask Kate Steinle’s family. Say Buenos noches, Juan."
"Then there was Chris “Krispy Kreme” Christie. He lectures you to give up your Social Security that you paid into in order to provide for everyone who couldn’t be bothered to work, some of whom may even be US citizens. Gov. Krispy can’t figure out why he’s not catching fire – not even a grease fire at the fryolator."
https://howiecarrshow.com/pitiful-rinos-charge-but-donald-trump-swats-them-away/
He hasn't signed any pledge and from what Trump is saying, on taxes had and Norquist aren't so close. Which highlights:
Trump is not a conservative Republican-but a sort of Right wing populist in the tradition of George Wallace, Pat Buchanan--and he shares many characteristics with Ross Perot, obviously in the sense that part of his sales pitch like Perot is 'Hey, I'm so rich they can't buy me' though Perot was somewhat unusual in being a populist of the Center.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/08/yes-donald-trump-is-moderate-candidate.html
This is why Trump is in many ways very perceptive of the electorate including the GOP electorate which is much less doctrinaire about cutting taxes and regulations for the rich and cutting entitlements-at least where they believe they help the white middle class rather than the nonwhite poor.-than the GOP establishment.
What they care about is nativist calls and racist and ethnic dog whistles much more than they care about Supply side economics. This has always been the case but it took Trump to take advantage of this. The rest of the GOP field toes SS orthodoxy.
"Judging from the rhetoric of the GOP presidential candidates, most of them think they need to appear to want to address inequality to be competitive in a general election. Yet party orthodoxy and GOP primary politics require them to propose to undo President Obama’s redistributive policies — chief among them the Affordable Care Act — and to support a less progressive tax structure than Obama and Democrats do."
How Republicans reconcile these two things — the need to offer solutions to inequality while vowing to roll back Obama’s efforts to redistribute resources downward — will be a key dynamic to watch.
In principle, the only acceptable answer for a Republican on inequality is to do as Rubio does and call for lower taxes on worker's bosses-in time trickle down economics will do its work.
With SS you can't directly help labor except indirectly through lower taxes and regulation for capital.
Trump though doesn't even worry about such orthodoxy.
"After losing the 2012 presidential election, Republican Party leaders vowed to craft a message they thought would be more in tune with the middle class, promising to deliver faster economic growth and to help all workers, not just the very rich. The message was built on the bedrock GOP notion that the primary enemy of the American economy is an oversized and overreaching federal government."
"But those careful plans have hit a large and brash-talking obstacle in the form of current Republican front-runner Donald J. Trump."
"Trump’s surging campaign has pushed the party in a different direction, one that often clashes with free-market principles that have long underpinned GOP economic policy. Some establishment Republicans worry that the turn could damage the economy, and their party, for years to come."
"Trump criticizes government, but he shot to the top of the GOP field by rallying voters against another enemy: immigrants from Mexico and low-wage workers in China, whom he blames for lost jobs and stagnant wages in America. He has proposed levying tariffs on imported goods, deporting millions of immigrants who entered America illegally and reducing the number of legal immigrants allowed in each year. In a further blow against conservative orthodoxy, he has said in recent interviews that he favors higher taxes on the rich and on investment income."
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonkblog/wp/2015/08/31/trump-upends-gop-message-on-economy/
This is just one reason why even if Trump were to leave the campaign tomorrow he has released some Furies that won't be easily caged back in Pandora's Box.
It's why I think the GOP may literally be splitting in two soon one way or the other. For many years the contradictions in the GOP coalition has managed to not come apart openly at the seams.
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2015/08/what-is-the-trump-endgame.html
But Trump is changing that. However, Trump is the lightning rod but this has been a quietly festering problem for years: the real story of the this GOP Congress is how seldom the GOP Senate and GOP House can come together constructively even among themselves.
The GOP establishment and base both use each other but both have some pretty different priorities and I've thought that this may come to a head sooner or later. Trump just makes it sooner.
P.S. The Tea Party radio host extraordinaire of Boston, Howie Carr shows the efficacy of Trumo's Right wing populism and why the Jeb argument that Trump has cooties because he said nice things about Hillary Clinton seems to be falling flat:
"The RINOs sent all their sluggers out there to take him deep. First was Juan Ellis Bush, the guy who describes the heinous crimes of “valedictorians,” which is Jeb-speak for illegal aliens– as “acts of love.” Just ask Kate Steinle’s family. Say Buenos noches, Juan."
"Then there was Chris “Krispy Kreme” Christie. He lectures you to give up your Social Security that you paid into in order to provide for everyone who couldn’t be bothered to work, some of whom may even be US citizens. Gov. Krispy can’t figure out why he’s not catching fire – not even a grease fire at the fryolator."
https://howiecarrshow.com/pitiful-rinos-charge-but-donald-trump-swats-them-away/
The reason why the GOP may be about to split into two parties is because the Southern strategy is becoming untenable-like the old New Deal coalition of Northern liberals, white ethnics and Southern segregationists became untenable in 1868.
The SS was always about leading prejudiced whites to vote their prejudices rather than their economic interests.
Trump's shrewd move is to directly speak to their prejudices while at the same time being a lot more responsive to their economic interests.
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