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Friday, September 25, 2015

Dysfunctional GOP Eats its Leader John Boehner

Remember when he said he needs this job like a whole in the head? Now he doesn't have this job anymore.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/onpolitics/2013/01/07/boehner-speaker-critics-defectors/1813747/

Hearing the news that Boehner is stepping down the Tea Party roared its approval. So the inmates have now taken over the asylum.

"Sen. Marco Rubio (R-FL) got a standing ovation when he broke the news House Speaker John Boehner's resignation to the packed ballroom at the 2015 Values Voter Summit in Washington.

"Just a few moments ago, Speaker Boehner announced he is resigning," Rubio started, and before he could finish the sentence, the ballroom erupted.

"I'm not here to today bash anyone, but the time has come to turn the page and allow new leadership in this country," Rubio said. "This extends to the White House and the Presidency as well."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/marco-rubio-john-boehner-values-voter-summit-comments

For some reason according to CNBC, Boehner's announced resignation also caused short term bond yields to rise.

http://www.cnbc.com/2015/09/25/short-term-yields-spike-on-boehner-resignation.html

It seems the market might be reading this as an increased risk the government shuts down.

Yet the in political news reporting seems to read this as more likely we won't have a government shutdown.

Which makes sense: now that he's quitting at the end of October they can't threaten to fire him. It's as if funding the government will be his last act.

"The Ohio representative struggled from almost the moment he took the speaker’s gavel in 2011 to manage the challenges of divided government and to hold together his fractious and increasingly conservative Republican members."

"Most recently, Mr. Boehner, 65, was trying to craft a solution to keep the government open through the rest of the year, but was under pressure from a growing base of conservatives who told him that they would not vote for a bill that did not defund Planned Parenthood."

"Mr. Boehner’s stunning announcement lessens the chance of a government shutdown next week as Republican leaders in Congress will push for a short-term funding measure to keep the government operating and the speaker will no longer be deterred by those who threatened his job."

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/09/26/us/john-boehner-to-resign-from-congress.html?_r=0

Boehner did say he was inspired by Pope Francis yesterday so maybe this led him to do the right thing-fund the government even if it means his job. There were plenty of times I've almost felt sorry for him. While he's wrong on most things he clearly was too reality based for his Tea Party House. 

It turns out that he had wanted out of this job for years but Eric Cantor's unexpected loss made him hold on after 2014.

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/01/john-boehner-profile-113874

Boehner's most likelyl replacement: Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy of California.

"Boehner's decision, relayed in a closed Republican meeting Friday morning, will indeed set off one of the most intense leadership scrambles in modern Congressional GOP politics. Second in line is McCarthy, who is widely expected to serve as the next speaker. But there is serious unrest in the House Republican ranks, as a small clutch of conservatives have continuously clashed with establishment Republicans. It takes 218 votes on the House floor to win the speakership, and many GOP insiders believe that McCarthy is the only person who could cobble together a coalition to win."

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/speaker-john-boehner-retiring-from-congress-at-the-end-of-october-214056#ixzz3mlgUQczI
Hmmm. So who would take over as Majority Leader? Next in line would be Steve Scalise-yes that friend of David Duke.

Ultimately I think this is about the absolute dysfunction of today's GOP. Forget a bipartisan deal with the Democrats: the fissures are too deep within the party itself.

The Tea Party can't agree with the Establishment, the Senate can't agree with the House.

"At her weekly news conference, House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) called the resignation "seismic" and "a stark indication of the disarray of the House Republicans.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/09/speaker-john-boehner-retiring-from-congress-at-the-end-of-october-214056#ixzz3mlhRwVrx
Update: It seems to me that maybe the short term bond market is confused: they may think Boehner is stepping down immediately rather than at the end of Octboer.


8 comments:

  1. "While he's wrong on most things he clearly was too reality based for his Tea Party House."

    I agree!... and well put. The Tea Party contingent doesn't even belong at the adult table, let alone the House of Representatives.

    I just looked it up and McCarthy's district (23rd) includes my home town (where my dad and his wife still live).

    It was a highly "reality based" environment to grow up in (lots of scientists and engineers), but the lunatics have been breeding there since I left: a lot more fundies now. (Serioiusly, I never met an evolution denier in my town until I was 17 years old, and it kind of freaked me out when I did... even though my own half sister (whom I never grew up with) has always been one).

    The district as a whole (which includes the much larger city of Bakersfield) is only 50% white now though... so I wonder how long it'll remain "red."

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    1. I wrote a new piece this morning about how the Tea Party is dancing on his grave-and it won't make a bit of difference anyway. Without the Presidency they can't repeal Obamacare, Planned Parenthood or stop the Iran deal.

      McCarthy will make no difference as he has no magical parties to compel the President do so things his way.

      http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2015/09/why-is-tea-party-celebrating-boehners.html

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  2. Mike, I think it's unfair that Wyoming (population 0.58 million) and California (population 38.8 million) have the same number of senators. Two solutions come to mind:

    1. Redraw states so that they are equal population. This would be a giant undertaking, not to mention it would have to be done again at some point when things got out of balance again someday.

    2. Let the federal government redraw 50 "state" boundaries every 10 years or so, but rather than create new states with them, we use them as federal senatorial districts (each district gets two senators).

    I like 2 better, since it seems less disruptive.

    In the mean time, states with large excess political populations (like the excess Democrats in California) could literally "colonize" other states like Wyoming and dominate them politically, picking up a couple of senate seats (and a house seat for good measure), not to mention a governorship and a state legislature and supreme court. Ha!

    I think faced with the prospect of colonization, Wyoming would prefer my "senatorial district" idea instead, don't you think? Lol.

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    1. New York could probably colonize New Hampshire or Maine, don't you think? Of course the problem is Texas would try to colonize some states too... Hmmm... that would be an interesting struggle. I would probably be a good thing overall though... essentially "political integration."

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    2. Either case, it would be the death knell of non-reality based political groups (like the Tea Party) that have political power beyond all proportion to their actual numbers.

      And for those folks who would find this totally unacceptable, we should, in parallel, work towards a manned (one way) mission to Mars.... where such folks can create a new utopia of Tea Party idealism.

      I would LOVE to see what would happen if a group of purists decided to found a new society based on their ideals... on Mars. I have in mind libertarian / Austrian economists (for some reason I always think of MF)... I imagine them flying off to their new home in a spacecraft filled with like minded idealists... and I bet you they'd have a very "statist" society LONG before their arrival at their new utopia. Maybe within the 1st month after their departure!

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    3. You get my total, wholehearted agreement on the Senators. This is actually a relic of slavery and the 3/5 compromise. Because if each state's number of Senators was based on population-as it should be-many slave states in the South would have had less power.

      Which would have been a very good thing

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  3. Yes I imagine this Martian society electing Major in a landslide. Of course, to be pure they have to make sure they use only private contractors and no government subsidies to build the spaceship-which would derail the undertaking.

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  4. In all seriousness regarding Senators all of your proposals are for me too radical-and unnecessary.

    States don't have an equal number of Reps why must they have an equal number of Senators?

    If you want more Senators then Wyoming has to take it upon itself to entice others to live there.

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