At least Jonathan Chait gets the right reason they all missed him. But this title of his gets me going all over again:
"Here’s the Real Reason Everybody Thought Trump Would Lose"
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/05/heres-the-real-reason-we-all-underrated-trump.html#
Tom Brown knows where I'm going now.
Everybody did not miss Trump.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/this-is-why-im-trump-democrat-reason-759.html
I've been on record saying that he has a real shot since last July. I always believed he was for real, or at least I did after about three weeks of his campaign.
When Chait says 'everybody missed Trump' this is false, as I'm somebody-damn it-and I did not miss him. Of course, Chait is referring to 'Everybody who's somebody in the Beltway media.'
And of course, I don't have standing there-I'm not known. Some do know me to be sure-I've spoken with some pundits on Twitter, Greg Sargent is even following me now, which I'm absurdly psyched about. But I don't have the exposure of the Beltway media.
So even though they were all wrong about Trump and I was right, even now, I get zero recognition. Which pisses me off. I never claimed to be such a big person that I don't want credit for anything. LOL
Some like Michelle Obama may crave anonymity. That has never been me.
Jonathan Bernstein treated me like a Bircher or a Roswell Truther when I would tweet him that Trump could win the GOP primary. I should tweet him now. See if he''s a bad sport about it. He at least can confirm that I said Trump would win before April.
Ok, anyway, Chait does get why he and everyone else got it wrong. Because they had all been part of the 'Both sides do it' punditry, which insisted on treating the parties as roughly equal. They believed the Republican party was a reasonably healthy political party.
If that were true, Trump would never have happened it's true. That was the mistake. What we have learned during this primary is that there is, indeed, a reasonably healthy political party in American politics and that's the Democrats.
This doesn't mean the party is right on everything-no one ever agrees on everything-and it certainly doesn't mean the Dems don't make mistakes, but they are a functioning party.
For me it's never just about positions and ideology-though I do have some strong positions like a woman's right to choose, immigration reform, and liberal economics- but style and form. The Democrats are stylistically, a healthy party. I'm actually a liberal Democrat-I don't call myself a progressive-because I'm a small c conservative.
The Party Decides was not wrong as a theory, it just needs to be qualified: a reasonably healthy, functioning party decides. For this reason, the Democratic party decided on Hillary Clinton. We rejected Bernie''s Tea Party of the Left tactics.
The GOP is really not a party at all anymore but a group of warring factions. Such sectarianism is the inevitable conclusion of the kind of purism that the GOP has tended towards for many years.
While we're admitting the GOP is a dysfunctional mess, let's not deceive ourselves that this happened overnight.
During the Obama years, you saw more and more that the only thing that Republicans and conservatives could agree on was that Obama is the anti Christ. There was no ability to ever agree on anything positive, just what they were against.
Ultimately this is where John Boehner's Hell No gets you. Into Trump's open, waiting arms.
"Here’s the Real Reason Everybody Thought Trump Would Lose"
http://nymag.com/daily/intelligencer/2016/05/heres-the-real-reason-we-all-underrated-trump.html#
Tom Brown knows where I'm going now.
Everybody did not miss Trump.
http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/this-is-why-im-trump-democrat-reason-759.html
I've been on record saying that he has a real shot since last July. I always believed he was for real, or at least I did after about three weeks of his campaign.
When Chait says 'everybody missed Trump' this is false, as I'm somebody-damn it-and I did not miss him. Of course, Chait is referring to 'Everybody who's somebody in the Beltway media.'
And of course, I don't have standing there-I'm not known. Some do know me to be sure-I've spoken with some pundits on Twitter, Greg Sargent is even following me now, which I'm absurdly psyched about. But I don't have the exposure of the Beltway media.
So even though they were all wrong about Trump and I was right, even now, I get zero recognition. Which pisses me off. I never claimed to be such a big person that I don't want credit for anything. LOL
Some like Michelle Obama may crave anonymity. That has never been me.
Jonathan Bernstein treated me like a Bircher or a Roswell Truther when I would tweet him that Trump could win the GOP primary. I should tweet him now. See if he''s a bad sport about it. He at least can confirm that I said Trump would win before April.
Ok, anyway, Chait does get why he and everyone else got it wrong. Because they had all been part of the 'Both sides do it' punditry, which insisted on treating the parties as roughly equal. They believed the Republican party was a reasonably healthy political party.
If that were true, Trump would never have happened it's true. That was the mistake. What we have learned during this primary is that there is, indeed, a reasonably healthy political party in American politics and that's the Democrats.
This doesn't mean the party is right on everything-no one ever agrees on everything-and it certainly doesn't mean the Dems don't make mistakes, but they are a functioning party.
For me it's never just about positions and ideology-though I do have some strong positions like a woman's right to choose, immigration reform, and liberal economics- but style and form. The Democrats are stylistically, a healthy party. I'm actually a liberal Democrat-I don't call myself a progressive-because I'm a small c conservative.
The Party Decides was not wrong as a theory, it just needs to be qualified: a reasonably healthy, functioning party decides. For this reason, the Democratic party decided on Hillary Clinton. We rejected Bernie''s Tea Party of the Left tactics.
The GOP is really not a party at all anymore but a group of warring factions. Such sectarianism is the inevitable conclusion of the kind of purism that the GOP has tended towards for many years.
While we're admitting the GOP is a dysfunctional mess, let's not deceive ourselves that this happened overnight.
During the Obama years, you saw more and more that the only thing that Republicans and conservatives could agree on was that Obama is the anti Christ. There was no ability to ever agree on anything positive, just what they were against.
Ultimately this is where John Boehner's Hell No gets you. Into Trump's open, waiting arms.
Mike, I'll back you up on this: you definitely were there first. BTW, Dana Milbank apparently was one of the naysayers on Trump: I just caught a clip of him last night on Hardball, during the "Tell me something I don't know" segment, informing Chris that he's going to be a man of his word, and he's going to go ahead and eat his column, as he promised to do, should Trump win the nomination. Milbank is having a chef prepare it for him: here's the menu.
ReplyDeleteWell I don't know about "first" (like I wrote above), but you were definitely there correctly predicting that Trump had a real chance right from the beginning.
DeleteYep, he was a huge Trump skeptic like Bernstein, Nate Silver, et al.
ReplyDelete