I know most of my fellow Hillary supporters won't. But the media is no doubt going to do everything they can to blow this poll which shows Trump leading Hillary 46-44 up.
They also now have Trump up by a few tenths of a percent in the RCP polling averages.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
But keep in mind:
1. She still leads RCP by about 84 electoral votes in the electoral college.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
2. There is another poll out today getting less play from the Wall St. Journal where she leads 46-43. That hasn't been included in the averages yet.
3. In any case, there are some pretty funky findings in the ABC poll. Like her losing 20 percent of Bernie supporters and Trump winning roughly half of millennials. There's no way that's true as while millennials clearly prefer Bernie to Hillary-at least white millennials-they really hate Donald Trump.
https://twitter.com/scooniepenn/status/734363313551900673
Remember that at this time in 2008, more Hillary supporters said PUMA than Bernie supporters saying it now.
Sam Stein:
"May 2008, McCain takes lead over Obama, does less well against Clinton."
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/734374711153430530
http://www.gallup.com/poll/106981/gallup-daily-obama-49-clinton-45.aspx
What is happening is that Trump is getting a bounce for winning the nomination while Hillary is wrapping it up.
Some like Chuck Todd are trying to make a big deal 'Oh my God, who would have thought Trump would wrap up the nomination first?!'
https://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/734355646565339136
But this is in the nature of the Dems' proportional voting system. Hillary has 96 percent of the needed delegates which is actually a few points closer than Trump is at present.
In reality the Dem race was over March 15 and all doubt was removed in late April.
Once Bernie bows out-and we have every right to expect him to do so after California-and Obama endorses her, the other popular Dem leaders endorse her, she'll get her own bounce.
They also now have Trump up by a few tenths of a percent in the RCP polling averages.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
But keep in mind:
1. She still leads RCP by about 84 electoral votes in the electoral college.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
2. There is another poll out today getting less play from the Wall St. Journal where she leads 46-43. That hasn't been included in the averages yet.
3. In any case, there are some pretty funky findings in the ABC poll. Like her losing 20 percent of Bernie supporters and Trump winning roughly half of millennials. There's no way that's true as while millennials clearly prefer Bernie to Hillary-at least white millennials-they really hate Donald Trump.
https://twitter.com/scooniepenn/status/734363313551900673
Remember that at this time in 2008, more Hillary supporters said PUMA than Bernie supporters saying it now.
Sam Stein:
"May 2008, McCain takes lead over Obama, does less well against Clinton."
https://twitter.com/samsteinhp/status/734374711153430530
http://www.gallup.com/poll/106981/gallup-daily-obama-49-clinton-45.aspx
What is happening is that Trump is getting a bounce for winning the nomination while Hillary is wrapping it up.
Some like Chuck Todd are trying to make a big deal 'Oh my God, who would have thought Trump would wrap up the nomination first?!'
https://twitter.com/chucktodd/status/734355646565339136
But this is in the nature of the Dems' proportional voting system. Hillary has 96 percent of the needed delegates which is actually a few points closer than Trump is at present.
In reality the Dem race was over March 15 and all doubt was removed in late April.
Once Bernie bows out-and we have every right to expect him to do so after California-and Obama endorses her, the other popular Dem leaders endorse her, she'll get her own bounce.
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