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Friday, May 6, 2016

Donald Trump and the Ultimate 50 State Strategy

Basically if you're a Democrat running against a Republican either nationally or at the state level, you also run against Donald Trump. Every Republican in the country has to fight a connection to Donald Trump.

House GOPers realize this is coming.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/house-republicans-donald-trump-222875

Every Republican running for Congress has to explain Donald Trump. Do they support him? Do they support everything he's said? Do they support deporting 11 million immigrants? Do they support a Muslim database and a Muslim ban?

Do they agree with him failing to disavow the support of David Duke and other white supremacists?

What do they think about his plan to allow Japan and South Korea to obtain nuclear weapons? How about his suggesting he might use nuclear weapons?

This leaves each GOPer with an impossible choice.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/paul-ryan-and-donald-trump-party-unity.html

1. As Paul Ryan worries, down ticket Republican candidates risk being tarrred with Trump's toxic unpopularity. Again, each Democratic opponent is going to be running against Donald Trump, of putting Donald Trump's face on each GOP candidate's torso.

2. But if they repudiate him, criticize him, or refuse to support/endorse him, they are cutting their own party's nominee off at the knees. As party chairman Reince Priebus points out, this is not without risk. Split ticket voting is becoming far less common-only a little over 5 percent of 2012 voters split their tickets.

So if Trump goes down and goes down hard-polling averages right now have him losing in the high single digits, this can drag down the rest of the ticket.

So there is no good solution. My guess is a number of Republicans are realistic enough to realize that Trump is going down no matter what and at most they can do is try to mitigate. This seems to be Paul Ryan's modus operandi.

To say it again-it can't be said enough. Donald Trump is the best thing to ever happen-to Democrats.

Just like for 70 years the GOP ran against the Civil War-that was the bloody shirt they would wave. Remind the public that the Dems were implicated in the secession of the South.

Then the Dems had the bloody shirt of the Great Depression. Then the GOP had the 60s. Now the Dems have Donald Trump. The bloody shirt that can be waved again and again for years to come. 

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