A few weeks ago there had been a lot of talk about national polls that showed Hillary and Bernie tied. Which is why I didn't believe them.
She is beating him by double digits in the actual primaries so how could it be tied nationally? And polling people who already voted is a weird deal in itself.
National polls still aren't the important thing-at this point the important thing is 2165: the number of delegates she has out of the required 2383 to win the nomination.
As Obama puts it 'It's anybody's guess who she will be.'
This new Survey Monkey poll seems more in line with what we're seeing.
"On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds a 14-point lead over Bernie Sanders nationally, 54 percent to 40 percent, with 6 percent undecided."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/how-popular-is-donald-trump-222728#ixzz47akGSwl1
Notably, this was the only sentence about the Dem race while there was a whole page about Trump and the GOP. Hence the 'On the Democratic side'-sort of an afterthought.
And this poll seemed to insist on talking to 'Democratic leaners' as well, which makes it even more impressive.
On the GOP side, no doubt Trump is running away with it.
"Donald Trump reached a new high among Republicans in a national NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll released Tuesday."
"The real estate mogul has 56 percent support, more than doubling his advantage over Ted Cruz, who sits at 22 percent. John Kasich rounds out the survey with 14 percent support. An additional 7 percent remain undecided."
"Trump is the only Republican candidate with any mathematical path to securing the GOP nomination outright, though Cruz and Kasich are hoping to emerge as the nominee at a contested convention in July should Trump fall short of the requisite 1,237 delegates."
"A majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning voters (58 percent), however, say Kasich should drop out of the race right now. The Ohio governor has won just a single state throughout the primary. Almost 40 percent said Cruz, who has outmaneuvered the front-runner in several states by securing delegates who would switch their allegiance to his campaign once they’re unbound from Trump, should fight on through the convention. Thirty-six percent said Cruz should drop out now, and another 23 percent said he should drop out after the last primaries."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/how-popular-is-donald-trump-222728#ixzz47amfXiMC
Kasich, Cruz, and Bernie are all linked by futility. They can't win but are still somehow hoping they get awarded the nomination by flipping delegates.
I'm presuming that Bernie is saying this just to keep his supporters engaged.
If Cruz loses today in Indiana it will be very tough to continue to claim he has any legitimate claim on the nomination.
She is beating him by double digits in the actual primaries so how could it be tied nationally? And polling people who already voted is a weird deal in itself.
National polls still aren't the important thing-at this point the important thing is 2165: the number of delegates she has out of the required 2383 to win the nomination.
As Obama puts it 'It's anybody's guess who she will be.'
This new Survey Monkey poll seems more in line with what we're seeing.
"On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton holds a 14-point lead over Bernie Sanders nationally, 54 percent to 40 percent, with 6 percent undecided."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/how-popular-is-donald-trump-222728#ixzz47akGSwl1
Notably, this was the only sentence about the Dem race while there was a whole page about Trump and the GOP. Hence the 'On the Democratic side'-sort of an afterthought.
And this poll seemed to insist on talking to 'Democratic leaners' as well, which makes it even more impressive.
On the GOP side, no doubt Trump is running away with it.
"Donald Trump reached a new high among Republicans in a national NBC News|SurveyMonkey poll released Tuesday."
"The real estate mogul has 56 percent support, more than doubling his advantage over Ted Cruz, who sits at 22 percent. John Kasich rounds out the survey with 14 percent support. An additional 7 percent remain undecided."
"Trump is the only Republican candidate with any mathematical path to securing the GOP nomination outright, though Cruz and Kasich are hoping to emerge as the nominee at a contested convention in July should Trump fall short of the requisite 1,237 delegates."
"A majority of Republicans and Republican-leaning voters (58 percent), however, say Kasich should drop out of the race right now. The Ohio governor has won just a single state throughout the primary. Almost 40 percent said Cruz, who has outmaneuvered the front-runner in several states by securing delegates who would switch their allegiance to his campaign once they’re unbound from Trump, should fight on through the convention. Thirty-six percent said Cruz should drop out now, and another 23 percent said he should drop out after the last primaries."
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/how-popular-is-donald-trump-222728#ixzz47amfXiMC
Kasich, Cruz, and Bernie are all linked by futility. They can't win but are still somehow hoping they get awarded the nomination by flipping delegates.
I'm presuming that Bernie is saying this just to keep his supporters engaged.
If Cruz loses today in Indiana it will be very tough to continue to claim he has any legitimate claim on the nomination.
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