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Wednesday, May 11, 2016

In WV 40% of Bernie Voters Will Vote for Trump in the Fall

Last night Bernie won West Virginia by 15 points: 51-36. Some in the media are now defining this as a 'quagmire.'

"Hillary Clinton's primary quagmire."

"She's on a course to win the Democratic nomination, but still piling up losses."

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/hillary-clintons-primary-quagmire-223033#ixzz48LiqpmuA

To call this a 'quagmire' is so overwrought as to be hilarious. Was anyone calling Obama's win in 2008 a quagmire? Yet, she won 9 of the last 12 primaries. That didn't get her the nomination.

As for WV it's only worth 29 delegates. So far he has been awarded 16 delegates to 11 by her. So he picks up 5 delegates. Meanwhile, she still has a 286 delegate lead.

Her delegate total is now at 2239, so she is just 141 delegates short of the 2383 she needs. Yes, that includes super delegates but newsflash: they count. They counted for Obama, they counted for John Kerry, they have always counted, since Bernie's manager Tad Devine invented them in 1984 while he was managing Mondale.

Remember when Bernie was dismissing Hillary's wins as being from red states? You will never find a more Republican state than WV.

Yes, 40 percent who voted for Bernie plan to vote Trump in November.

In WV in 2013, even 38 percent of alleged Democrats wanted to impeach President Obama. As MotorCityLiberal said on Twitter last night, the difference between Republicans and Democrats is how often they use the N word, that's all.

Many of these 'Democrats' are like Kim Davis. Old, unreconstructed Dixiecrats.

In WV, they say she will destroy coal country-and showed her by voting for Bernie Sanders who promises to end the entire industry overnight. When people ask him about coal jobs he just says 'Oh, well. It's the right thing and we have to do it.'

They were not voting for Bernie so much, they were voting against her. How else do you explain that he won not just those who want more liberal policy than Obama but those who want more conservative policy?

As Benchmark Politics notes, she even in a state like this won the Democrat vote which bodes well for her in the upcoming primaries like Kentucky, etc.

https://twitter.com/benchmarkpol/status/730275418616397824

So ignore all the noise that last night was a 'quagmire' or even terribly meaningful at all in the big scheme of things. Honestly, she has won this primary. It's just a matter of time until it's official.

As for last night, it just showed what has been shown again and again: demographics is destiny. It has been destiny in the primary and will be in the general vs. Trump as well.

Meanwhile it's not getting much headlines, but Hillary actually won the Nebraska primary last night by 20 points after Bernie had won the Nebraska Caucus back in March by 15 points.

http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-dem-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/05/clinton-wins-nebraska-democratic-primary-223042

Kind of makes our point that caucuses are undemocratic anachronisms. Yet for some strange reason Nebraska makes the caucus the binding vote.

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