Pages

Friday, May 13, 2016

Donald Trump and the New 50 State Strategy

It's very simple. If you are a Democrat running against a Republican in any national or state race across the country, don't run against your opponent, run against Donald Trump.

Harry Reid showed how to do it yesterday with a brilliant take down of Mitch McConnell on the Senate floor.

"Senate Minority Leader Harry Reid ridiculed Majority Leader Mitch McConnell on the Senate floor Thursday for embracing Donald Trump as the Republican Party’s presumptive presidential nominee, saying the Kentucky senator must also think women are “dogs and pigs.”

"Reid's feisty comments come as the real estate mogul is in Washington for a series of conclaves with House Speaker Paul Ryan, McConnell and other congressional and party leaders."

“It’s just the latest sign that Republican leaders in both houses are marching lock step with Donald Trump,” Reid said.

"Reid continued tying the Senate leader to the billionaire, accusing both of being obstructionists when it comes to acting on President Barack Obama’s Supreme Court nominee and anti-women."

“Since Sen. McConnell has so enthusiastically embraced Trump, we can only assume he agrees with Trump’s view that women are dogs and pigs. We can only assume that the Republican leader is not repulsed by Donald Trump’s vulgar behavior toward women,” Reid said, pointing to an infamous interview Trump gave to Howard Stern as an example of how he views women.

"Reid added that Trump and McConnell can discuss their anti-immigration views, too. Trump has called Mexicans “rapists” and vowed to build a wall on the southern border that Mexico will pay for. He also wants to deport some 11 million undocumented immigrants. He has, however, taken a step back from his proposal last year to temporarily ban Muslims from entering the U.S."

Uh, no, Politico, he has not. Sheesh.

“I assume that they can have a long discussion about the wall: how high it should be, how they’re gonna get the Mexicans to pay for the wall, even though most people think the idea’s insane,” Reid said. “Let’s not forget, Republicans have demagogued Latinos and immigrants for decades. They’re doing it today.”

"Reid derisively argued that Trump and McConnell will have plenty to talk about when they meet Thursday, including why the businessman should thank McConnell for his ascent to the top of the party."

“Donald Trump and the Republican leader should have a long, long conversation. They have a lot to talk about,” Reid said. “At some point in their conversation, Donald Trump should thank the senior senator from Kentucky. Trump owes his candidacy to the Republican leader and to the policies he’s led. It was an obstructionist, anti-woman, anti-Latino, anti-Muslim, anti-middle class, anti-environment and anti-Obama and anti-everything Republicans during the last eight years have made Donald Trump a reality.”

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/does-mitch-mcconnell-think-women-are.html

Or Chuck Schumer, Harry Reid's likely successor:

"New York Sen. Chuck Schumer, Reid's expected successor as Democratic leader, said Republicans hesitate to embrace Trump because of the very blunt, not "politically correct" style that has attracted many of his supporters – not because they disagree with him."

"Thursday's highly anticipated summit with Ryan and other GOP lawmakers was a piece of theater, Schumer said, was "not just because of the spectacle of cameras and protesters," but because "when it comes to the policy differences that need to be worked out between the nominee and congressional leaders, there really aren't that many."

"The fact is Senate Republicans have been governing from the Trump textbook for years," Schumer told reporters. "They may not be proud of how their nominee expresses himself or pleased with the tone of his campaign and the name-calling, but on policy, Donald Trump and Republicans are singing from the same hymnal."

http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-05-12/democrats-relish-gop-colleagues-discomfort-with-trump

Or checkout former Governor Rod Strickland against his GOP opponent in the Ohio race for the US Senate:

"It’s no surprise that Donald Trump wants Sen. Portman to be his vice president because on many issues Trump and Portman share the same toxic agenda," Strickland spokeswoman Liz Margolis said in a statement. "And by refusing to do his job and consider the Supreme Court nominee, Portman has also made it clear that he’s happy to let Trump reshape the Supreme Court for generations."

- See more at: http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/strickland-hits-portman-interest-trump-vp-spot#sthash.zVrJCNWa.dpuf

Call it the Trump Effect. It will give the Dems the ultimate 50 state strategy. Between the Trump Effect and the Merrick Garland card, the Dems are going to have a very formidable one-two punch in every Senate race.

Why Mitch McConnell-who Harry Reid so effectively battered in that floor speech-insists on refusing to even give Merrick Garland-even if he has no intention of confirming him-is a mystery.

I've been just a little bit indignant, that while the Beltway talks about how no one predicted Trump could win, I had been doing it since last July as Tom Brown confirms:

"Mike, I'll back you up on this: you definitely were there first. BTW, Dana Milbank apparently was one of the naysayers on Trump: I just caught a clip of him last night on Hardball, during the "Tell me something I don't know" segment, informing Chris that he's going to be a man of his word, and he's going to go ahead and eat his column, as he promised to do, should Trump win the nomination. Milbank is having a chef prepare it for him: here's the menu."

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/why-beltway-media-all-missed-trump.html?showComment=1463080876975#c6679043619063491484

Tom then takes away a little with the other hand. LOL

"Well I don't know about "first" (like I wrote above), but you were definitely there correctly predicting that Trump had a real chance right from the beginning."

Well who was first then? LOL. Actually I haven't said first-though I may have been. I didn't' get the idea from anyone-so if anyone got there first I didn't' come across them before getting there-and the MSM didn't even entertain the idea that he could win until this year; and most of them still thought he wouldn't be until late April. But I had to be one of the first as I came to this conclusion after he had been running for just 3 weeks.

I have said that the other folks I'm aware of calling it for a long time are Scott Adams the author of Dilbert Comics-though his reasoning is a bit different than mine. He thinks Trump is a Master Persuader, I just think the Republican party is a dysfunctional mess.

If you look at timelines, though, me and Adams are pretty close.

Also Norm Ornstein got it early-but then he, like, I has long recognized that: the GOP is a dysfunctional mess.

But when you look at how all these Dems are all tying every GOP candidate and leader to Donald Trump, I'm reminded of what William F. Buckley once asked.

Did you ever see a dream walking?

http://www.amazon.com/American-Conservative-Thought-Twentieth-Century/dp/B000NREEO8/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1463147198&sr=8-1&keywords=william+f+buckley+did+you+ever+see+a+dream+walking
This is the dream walking of a Trump Democrat:

"Democrats Relish GOP Colleagues’ Discomfort With Trump."

"They hope tying the party to their soon-to-be nominee could pay down-ballot dividends in November."

"Congressional Democrats were gleeful Thursday as their Republican colleagues welcomed Donald Trump to Washington and prepared to embrace him – some through clenched teeth – as their party's presidential nominee."

Like the song says: 'Did you ever see a dream walking? Well I did.'

18 comments:

  1. I really liked this article and others you've authored.

    Would you be OK if I shared one of your articles with the WriterBeat.com community? I can provide more information about Writer Beat or answer any question, but better than anything I can say in words, please take a look at the site.

    If yes, just give me an "OK" and I'll handle the rest (there is no fee).

    Autumn
    AutumnCote@WriterBeat.com

    ReplyDelete
  2. Absolutely! That would be great. Thank you, that sounds great.

    I can always use public exposure.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Congrats indeed Mike!

      BTW,one big difference between you and Scott Adams is you have only predicted Trump to win the nomination and feel like he will get smoked in the general election, Adams thinks he is going to win the election and by a substantial margin. Im not going to make any predictions but a Trump victory would not surprise me.

      Delete
    2. Well my premise of Trump's primary success was always tied to the idea that the GOP is such a dysfunctional hotbed of racism and zenophobia that the base would love him.

      After all, why bother with dog whistle politics if you can have the real thing?

      All I can say is that for Trump to win there must be enough angry white males out there.

      He is going to be obliterated among Latinos. Blacks, and women.

      In many ways his problem is the same as Bernie in the primary. Are there enough new, mostly white voters to make up for her demographic advantages?

      I agree Trump could win, but I see it much more likely that he doesn't.

      The betting odds have him with a 24 percent chance which I think is about right.

      https://electionbettingodds.com/week.html

      Delete
    3. My main premise with Trump was that he would have a much smaller chance to win than a normal Republican and I think that's right.

      A normal, generic GOPer would have been basically a pick em against Hillary.

      Delete
    4. Im not sure Trump will be obliterated amongst women. I think he has plenty of time to sway enough women and he will probably get as many minorities as the last few GOP candidates.

      The problem with Hillary is that she has about 30% of the voting public that loves her and the rest don't really find her appealing. Many will tolerate her but another 30% cannot stand her. Trump has fewer that love him but I also think there are fewer that cant stand him. Many of the same people that cant stand Hillary also cant stand Trump. I think there might be fewer liberals who cant stand Trump than there are conservatives. A lot of the people who cant stand either will probably pull for Donald if they pull because he's a white male, almost none will pull for Hillary.

      As Ive said before, I think a Trump presidency will be worse for conservatives than for liberals because he will upset the apple cart and the apple cart is owned by conservatives for the most part.

      I am not looking forward to the next six months only because the prospect of a Hillary presidency is driving a lot of the people down here absolutely batshit crazy, but I smile a little inside when I think how things will actually be for them if Trump actually wins. A GOP president who actually blames W for the troubles in the middle east, thinks businesses should not be carrying the burden of insuring their employees health and agrees with Bernie that a lot of the financial wizards are worthless scums not doing productive work.

      Delete
    5. Right now 73 percent of women can't stand Trump.

      I think you are underestimating how many people can't stand Trump and probably overestimating how many can't stand Hillary.

      I agree a Trump Presidency would be bad for conservatives which is why I wanted him to win the GOP primary.

      But a Hillary Presidency is best for Democrats.

      I guess you're assuming a lot of Bernie supporters go Trump.

      If many of them did, that would do more than anything to prove to me that the Bernie supporters were wrongheaded on many things.

      For one thing I don't get this absolute Hillary hatred. Maybe it seems that way to you as you live down in Georgia.

      I mean it goes beyond believing that Bernie would be a more progressive President than Hillary, they seem to believe that anyone would be, even Putin, Mussolini, or Hitler.

      It's amazing to me that Hillary is the Evil One for saying she wants a $12 federal MW rather than $15 but Bernie supporters think Trump might be for the working stiff while he has said wages are too high and that there should be no federal minimum wage at all.

      What is clear is the Berners grade Hillary with a much tougher-not to say impossible-standard than they grade Trump.

      Trump can say anything he wants and people just project onto him that he means something different.

      Delete
    6. The other aspect I think you don't factor in Greg is the minority vote. When you get into Trump's history on race-starting with his butler and his failure to disavow David Duke's support-to when Trump's NY properties were cited for breaking Federal Housing Laws against discrimination against black tenants-his buildings had refused to have black tenants-he is going to be obliterated among POC.

      As for white women, I don't see what Trump can do to win all those disgusted by him.

      I'm sure his latest caper where he pretended to be his own publicist to brag about how Madonna wanted his body and how Marla Maples was begging him to take her back as well as his Howard Stern appearances will do a lot to win him over to women.

      Delete
    7. On the other hand, I agree that a Trump presidency will be bad for conservatives-as opposed possibly to Republicans.

      But how could a Trump Presidency not be a disaster to liberals? The next President may have as many as 4 SJC picks to make.

      Again, some of this Hillary hatred seems based on the idea that not only is Hillary not the most progressive Democrat in the world to she's the most anti progressive person to have ever lived?

      Is there anyone in the mind of Bernie Sanders supporters who is worse than Hillary Clinton as POTUS?

      Delete
    8. Im not assuming that a lot of Bernie supporters go for Trump, some probably will but some will sit out. Most will vote for Hillary.

      In the primaries less then 15% of eligible voters voted for Hillary and Donald combined, Hillary got about 1.5% more mostly cuz she wasn't running against 15 opponents. These are two of the most unpopular nominees ever. Expecting Hillary to mop the floor is silly I think. The overwhelming majority of voters don't like either choice. Trump won't have to move the needle very much to get a victory.

      Ive personally said I don't have a problem with Hillary. I don't love her as a candidate but she is acceptable.

      "Again, some of this Hillary hatred seems based on the idea that not only is Hillary not the most progressive Democrat in the world to she's the most anti progressive person to have ever lived?"

      Your talking about intra-party hatred here, Im talking about inter-party hatred, republicans that cant stand her. Mostly SWMs (southern white males), frat boy types who cant stand anything "librul" or "Title IX".


      Delete
    9. Your comments led me to a new post Greg.

      http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/greg-sounds-bearish-on-hillarys-chances.html

      Delete
    10. That's the nature of primaries, Greg. Only a small percentage of voters vote. This is always true though.

      As for favorables, part of it is we're in a very partisan era now. Hillary was actually very popular while she was at SS. Once she was running again, her numbers went down.

      A lot of this is based on the media hitting her all day every day for 6 months last year on this trumped up email scandal.

      In 2008, at her worst moment against Obama, her popularity was still at 48 percent.

      This truly is a very partisan era we are in now.

      Delete
  3. "Well who was first then?"

    Maybe Trump himself? Or maybe not! Maybe you even beat Trump to it Mike! =)

    ReplyDelete
  4. This comment has been removed by the author.

    ReplyDelete
  5. O/T: This "click bait" in Google news caught my eye, so I took a look at the Fox News version. What's interesting to me is the comments section: full of what appear to be Trump supporters (i.e. racists, freed from the onerous "bonds" of "political correctness" and feeling safe in anonymity)... basically this is what I remember the Fox News comments section to be like back in 2008. They got rid of it (the comments section) altogether after that sometime... it had become a gathering place for racists to rant back then. Looks like it's returning to its natural state.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Mike, here's a ranking (from best to worst) #NeverTrump suggested conservative strategies against the "orange hued clown." Supporting Clinton still makes the list... dead last, right behind suicide, but it's still there.

    ReplyDelete
  7. If a conservative doesn't vote for Trump that's almost as good as a vote for Hillary

    ReplyDelete