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Saturday, May 7, 2016

Paul Ryan's Primary Challenger Will Support Trump

Again. Intensifying GOP civil war

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/republican-party-civil-war.html

I've said it before and I'll say it again: who needs the Berners? Most who voted for Bernie Sanders will vote for Hillary Clinton.

There are a few Berners that maybe won't. Maybe HA Goodman is a lost cause, etc. But you have Jeb Bush saying he won't vote for Trump. Not just won't go to the convention: none of the Bushes, nor Mitt Romney, nor John McCain will be there.

If the Bushes aren't voting for the Republican party''s nominee Hillary is going to do fine. Maybe those who voted for Bernie who will now vote for Hillary won't  phone bank for Hillary, but Red State's' Ben Howe will.

Paul Ryan needs time to decide if he will support Trump. His primary opponent-isn't this the beauty of the Republican party where long serving incumbents are always being primaries?-is knocking Ryan for not saying he will support Donald Trump.

"When House Speaker Paul Ryan said Thursday he wasn’t ready to support Donald Trump, the presumptive nominee of the Republican Party, his Wisconsin primary opponent saw an opening."

"Following the Trump campaign’s lash-out on Friday, Paul Nehlen seized that opening, suggesting he will do what Ryan won't: support Trump."

“If Mr. Trump is the nominee, I will support that decision, because it will have been the will of the voters that got him there,” the Republican challenging Ryan for Wisconsin’s 1st Congressional District seat in the state’s August primary said in a statement.

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/paul-nehlen-support-donald-trump-paul-ryan-222908#ixzz47xdRlAm2

Ryan is also getting some criticism for his reticence from some close allies in the House.

"Two prominent House allies of Paul Ryan broke with the speaker Friday over his decision to withhold support from Donald Trump, comments that point to a growing split among congressional Republicans over how to deal with the presumptive nominee."

"Reps. Lynn Westmoreland of Georgia and Dennis Ross of Florida — who, as House whips, help Republican leaders muster support to pass legislation — told POLITICO in interviews on Friday that they disagreed with Ryan’s decision to break with Trump in a bombshell interview a day earlier. Both lawmakers said they believe their leader is in denial about how Republican voters feel about the real-estate tycoon."

“I honestly don’t understand what Paul’s thinking — I don’t get it,” said Westmoreland, who is retiring after this year. “I try not to give advice to the speaker, but I think it just really brought about, in my opinion, even more confusion to this thing.”

“Trust me, I haven’t been on the Donald Trump bandwagon, but I will support him, and I disagree with Ryan’s comment,” Ross said. “I think it’s time we unite (and) … extend an olive branch and start working this out.”

"The sharp rebuke from two senior, longtime GOP leadership allies is a rare sight in the House. It highlights a schism in the lower chamber that's expected to grow next week when Congress returns from recess and some House Republicans line up behind their leader and others rally around the GOP standard bearer-in-waiting."

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/paul-ryan-allies-donald-trump-222919#ixzz47xeBY5vi

However, in the 2016 GOP, no one agrees on anything:

"Pennsylvanian Republican Charlie Dent, who leads the moderate GOP Tuesday Group, said he's all in favor of doing anything to change Trump's positions. The speaker, Dent said, is trying to save the party — and as far as he’s concerned Trump still “has a great deal of work to do to convince the American people, myself included, that he’s able to lead this nation.”

“I thought that Paul Ryan struck the right tone and the right balance,” he said. “Paul had to step up and disassociate himself and distance himself from some of these comments. … We’re concerned [that] his comments are affecting our shot at the White House.”

Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/paul-ryan-allies-donald-trump-222919#ixzz47xfFZKT6

Not just the WH but of holding onto the Senate-and maybe even hurting them in the House.

The National Review is with Paul Ryan:

"Paul Ryan is right to withhold his support, and those who have suddenly discovered that attending the Republican convention conflicts with their cat-shampooing schedule — both Presidents Bush, nominees John McCain and Mitt Romney — have in this matter chosen the better part, while former Texas governor Rick Perry has shown poor judgment. Trump, who long claimed (falsely) that he was self-funding his campaign and therefore was beholden to no one, has just named a hedge-fund boss and former Goldman Sachs partner to raise money, but donors are walking sideways away from him—as they should."

Read more at: http://www.nationalreview.com/article/435091/donald-trump-republicans-unite

It also seems it may be #WithHer:

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/431962/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-choose-wisely
They believe that a Trump Presidency is worse than a Hillary Presidency. However, one working assumption of theirs that is questionable is that Hilary will get nothing done with a GOP Congress. If Trump's loss is bad enough, how do they know there is not a Trump effect that brings down the GOP Congress too?

It seems to me that many GOPers are baking in a Hillary win. But if so, the Dems at least take back the Senate-which means a liberal Supreme Court in the future.

If Trump loses by enough maybe it brings down the House. Besides that, Scott Sumner is probably right that the GOP in 2017 will be a chastened bunch, unlike in 2009. They will be Germany post WWII rather than Post WWI.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/04/scott-sumner-predicts-12-national.html





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