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Monday, May 2, 2016

Bernie Needs to Stop Lying to Himself and His Supporters

I think I get what's happening. He's frustrated as his fundraising is starting to dry up.

http://lastmenandovermen.blogspot.com/2016/05/feel-hil-as-bern-starts-to-flicker-out.html

He's trying to con his supporters that he still has a path to victory:

"Bernie Sanders on Sunday marked the one-year anniversary of his bid for the White House by vowing that the Democratic convention will be "contested," despite Hillary Clinton's wide lead in pledged and overall delegates."

"It's virtually impossible for Secretary Clinton to reach the majority of convention delegates by June 14 with pledged delegates alone," the Vermont senator told reporters at the National Press Club in Washington. "

"The convention will be held in Philadelphia in July, after the final nominating contest in Washington, D.C., on June 14."

"The evidence is extremely clear that I would be the stronger candidate to defeat Trump or any other Republican," Sanders said of the Republican front-runner Donald Trump. He cited several polls showing him doing better than Clinton in a hypothetical head-to-head contest against the real estate magnate.

"Still, it would be "an uphill climb" to win the nomination, Sanders said. His campaign on Sunday reported a decline in fundraising for April, to $26 million from $46 million in March, as Clinton won primary elections in such populous states as New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland."

"The Bloomberg Politics delegate tracker shows Clinton with 2,156 delegates, including 520 super delegates, while Sanders has 1,357 delegates, 39 of whom are super delegates. A candidate needs 2,383 delegates to clinch."

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-05-01/bernie-sanders-vows-contested-convention-makes-case-for-superdelegate-flips

So he's actually making the John Kasich-Ted Cruz argument: even though I fail to win a plurality of votes nominate me because I would be a better election candidate.

It's not going so well for Kasich and Cruz either. Kasich is supposedly ahead of Hillary by 7 points. I don't believe that for a minute-Kasich mostly has not been important enough for anyone to attack though he has a lot of vulnerabilities.

Bernie has not been the subject of GOP attacks. If he were this would drive down his numbers with independents. The independents don't know what they want beyond someone who is 'nonpartisan.'

As long as Bernie and Kasich aren't attacked by the other party, the independents imagine this is because they are somehow the new post-partisan politicians-surely the Obama years have shown us there is no such thing as this.

Finally, Bernie is trying to create a standard which has never existed before. SDs have always counted and they have always been unbound delegates. Bernie doesn't get to change the rules in midstream.

In 2008 Obama got to the magic number with the help of SDs as had John Kerry in 2004, as have all Democratic nominees going back to when Bernie''s manager, Tad Devine, invented them in 1984.

Truth is she is winning so handily over Bernie, she may even come close to the 2062 pledged delegates for her to meet his new standard. But it's not necessary.

Bernie should not try to get his fundraising back by lying to his Berners.

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