Wednesday, September 7, 2016

For Senate Dems, Merrick Garland is a Very Nice Wedge Issue

Republican Senators already have a Donald Trump issue. Thanks to him, some Senate races that you'd never thought would be competitive are indeed competitive.

PPP's latest polls show Hillary some more good news for Hillary in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire. Even while the national polls have tightened, she still has solid leads in both states and even leads in Iowa where Trump's numbers have been better.

"NEW @ppppolls 

Pennsylvania: Clinton 47 (+5) Trump 42 

NH: Clinton 46 (+5) Trump 41 

Iowa: Clinton 45 (+2) Trump 43

As polls analyst Nate Cohn says, if Hillary wins PA it's very tough for her to lose.

As for the Senate, not only is Trump a drag in places like NH, PA, and Florida-Rubio is only up by 2 points in latest Fl poll-but the Senate GOP's refusal to confirm or even hold hearings on Obama's SCTOTUS nominee, Merrick Garland, is the double whammy.

"As the Senate returned from its summer recess, Democrats and associated interested groups readied a fall push for President Obama’s Supreme Court nominee, Judge Merrick Garland."

"New polling out from a Democratic-leaning firm on Wednesday shows that the issue does matter to some voters in key states like Iowa, where the Senate Judiciary Committee chair, Sen. Chuck Grassley, is up for re-election, and in Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, where Sens. Pat Toomey and Kelly Ayotte, respectively, are in tight races seeking to hold onto their seats. Their races, moreover, are two of the key races Democrats must win if they hope to take back the Senate majority."

"In the new Public Policy Polling polls, an advance copy of which was provided to BuzzFeed News by the We Need Nine outside effort to press for Senate action, 40% of Iowa voters said they would be less likely to vote for Grassley if he opposed holding confirmation hearings for Garland. Only 26% say they would be more likely to vote for him in that situation."

"In the polling, a majority of Pennsylvanians (51%) say the vacant seat on the Supreme Court should be filled this year. A great majority — 56% — say the Senate should at least hold confirmation hearings on Obama’s nominee. In the New Hampshire polling, only 38% agree more that Ayotte is doing what’s in the best interest of the country — while 52% agree more that she is playing politics by opposing confirmation hearings for Garland."

No doubt, Republicans want to wait and see if they succeed in election Hitler 2.0. Which in itself is pretty shameful.

But while they may prefer to wait and only if and when Hillary wins would they then confirm Garland, it's clear that doing this will not be costless for them. Thankfully so.

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