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Thursday, June 30, 2016

Chuck Grassley in the Race of His Career in Iowa

This is something no one expected to see.

"A new poll reveals that Sen. Chuck Grassley (R-IA) is in the race of his Senate career against Democratic opponent Patty Judge."

"Judge – the former lieutenant governor – is within striking distance of the seven-term senator, polling at 45 percent among likely voters compared to Grassley's 46 percent."

"The Loras College poll released Thursday was its first since Trump and Clinton won their respective primaries. It suggested Grassley may be more vulnerable in his re-election after refusing to hold hearings on President Barack Obama's Supreme Court nominee Merrick Garland. Christopher Budzisz, the director of the poll, also added that Republican nominee Donald Trump–who was trailing Hillary Clinton by double digits statewide in the poll, may also be a drag on Grassley."

"The poll revealed, however, that many people are still skeptical Grassley can be beat. Even with Judge within a single point of Grassley, 70 percent said they thought Grassley would keep his seat in November."

"The survey of 600 likely voters was conducted between June 24-28. The margin of error was 4 percentage points."

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/livewire/chuck-grassley-is-in-the-senate-race-of-his-career

This also seems to confirm the Loras poll that shows Hillary up by 14 in the state.

As DailyNewsBin notes, it sure is pretty mysterious that Trump managed to gain 9 points in a week according to Rasmusson.

"At a time when every major polling outlet across the political and ideological spectrum is in agreement that Hillary Clinton is not only leading the Presidential race but also widening her lead, the infamous and usually wrong Rasmussen poll is suddenly claiming today that Hillary has gone from being up five points nationally to being down four points in a span of eight days. With nothing having gone wrong for Hillary this week and nothing having gone right for Trump, there is no possible real world explanation for such a dramatic shift against the tide in such a short period of time."

"So leaves us to ponder whether Rasmussen purposely changed its polling methodology this week. If so, the stunt is certainly getting headlines. Those television news outlets who have been searching for any shard of evidence that the race might still be competitive? They’ll spend the next few days shouting about the Rasmussen from the rafters, and some of them won’t even acknowledge that the other polling outlets exist, let alone that they’re all reporting the opposite results and the opposite trend."

"Either way, this wouldn’t be the first time Rasmussen has laid an egg. It was notoriously inaccurate in favor of republican Mitt Romney in the 2012 general election, to the point of unfairly giving the other polling outlets a bad name by association. And that’s not just my view; everyone from FiveThirtyEight to Time Magazine to the Washington Post to the New York Times has called into question the legitimacy of Rasmussen polling over the past few years."

http://www.dailynewsbin.com/opinion/donald-trump-mysteriously-gains-nine-points-in-a-week-in-infamous-rasmussen-poll/25055/

Finally Donald Trump is asking the right question at least. But he's just perplexed how he gets these big rallies and yet he's falling further behind in the polls-the latest swing state polls are bad news indeed for him.

"Nick Gass reports that Donald Trump is utterly confused by the fact that he can hold a rally full of people who love him, yet also be trailing in the polls. It makes no sense!"

https://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/plum-line/wp/2016/06/30/happy-hour-roundup-892/

Regarding the fact that Trump had 1 percent of the vote on that national poll that came out yesterday-1 percent-you have to say he's earned his-shockingly abysmal-level of support.

http://time.com/4389251/donald-trump-1-percent-support-poll/

The fact that he got 1 percent yet only trailed by 2 in that one, tells me that they may have counted too few AAs or too many whites or something.

I've heard some argue that Trump will get more black voters because he's better known for being prejudiced against Mexicans. Evidently that's not working as failsafe a strategy as it seems.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/01/nyregion/trumps-instinct-for-racially-charged-rhetoric-before-his-presidential-bid.html

Then we get his daddy who had a history with the KKK. Yet Trump sure is a kidder: he pretended he doesn't even know who the KKK is.


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